Fellali

@Fellali

#42,07631

0x730a0ececde4c8fe58554a6998e8bde5db7951a0

~553d· 1474 markets · 65885 tradesVol: $15,187,2222026-08-02 08:51:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (809/1438)13.1/20
0.93x (win $138,348 / loss $148,475)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2790/15
Sortino -0.4170/10
$-0.0031 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 53 (1438 markets)10/10
207/375 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 309% of peak ($38,353 / $12,411)0/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+2,619
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 44.5 entries/market
Whale
$3,314,990 invested
High Roller
$5,390/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#1,665,164$-5,478Vol: $7,791,486
🏛️ POLITICS#2,985$13,431Vol: $4,385,573
💰 FINANCE#1,218$4,304Vol: $1,385,093
🎭 CULTURE#815,887$-2,843Vol: $588,297
📈 ECONOMICS#10,198$141Vol: $379,477
⚽ SPORTS#1,872,929$-6,534Vol: $316,050
🌤️ WEATHER#292,325$-282Vol: $65,103
💻 TECH#7,469$65Vol: $55,159
📢 MENTIONS#168,088$-178Vol: $17,989

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,619
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,187,222
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1474
total markets
Trades
53220B / 12665S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~553d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,619
Vol: $15,187,222

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
809W / 629L events
Realized PnL
$2,619
Win Rate
56%
809W / 629L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$171
Avg Loss
$-242

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $42,597 (16.263084752621914% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$14,859
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$13,953
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$13,786
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$4,755
New Pope in 2025?$2,649
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2,523
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$2,165
US-China trade deal before June?$1,809
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,726
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$1,622

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-10,427
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?$-6,830
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$-6,347
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-6,208
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$-4,918
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$-4,316
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$-4,250
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-3,203
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$-2,723
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$-2,474

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.015
Sortino
-0.016
HHI
56
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
9.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
107.1
Very active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
13.1m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
24 min
Avg Trades / Session
38.7

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 182s — normal for humanCV 2.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock107 trades/day — automation2.4 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
44.53
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.4%
Mid (20-55c)25.5%
High (>55c)31.1%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:51:23 PM106 trades$20,55172 min
5/21/2026, 9:20:49 PM9 trades$13,8180 min
4/7/2026, 9:18:05 PM65 trades$11,75348 min
4/9/2026, 3:09:27 PM94 trades$11,34932 min
9/29/2025, 8:43:33 AM10 trades$11,19911 min
3/23/2026, 11:48:41 AM39 trades$10,97321 min
4/24/2026, 8:01:06 PM4 trades$10,3994 min
11/6/2024, 12:54:59 AM10 trades$10,1297 min
4/3/2026, 3:16:47 PM68 trades$9,78628 min
4/8/2026, 9:19:55 AM82 trades$9,32475 min
4/26/2026, 8:40:12 AM15 trades$8,7905 min
4/12/2026, 1:42:29 AM37 trades$8,67318 min
3/23/2026, 10:14:21 AM53 trades$8,60871 min
10/10/2025, 4:35:06 PM46 trades$8,46144 min
9/25/2025, 12:13:28 PM64 trades$8,34367 min
4/8/2026, 12:12:33 AM149 trades$8,33764 min
4/19/2026, 1:09:22 AM31 trades$8,2968 min
10/3/2025, 10:26:41 AM89 trades$8,26156 min
3/25/2026, 1:37:57 PM10 trades$7,91210 min
8/24/2025, 7:37:05 PM26 trades$7,88223 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-25
02-20
05-01
07-13
10-28
04-08
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 31 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 44.53/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.4 / M25.5 / H31.1