@HiramCromwell

#2,628,90568

0xd996c155812aff9cfb316990ba68f9500d206a5d

~30d· 51 markets · 127 tradesVol: $283,5792026-08-02 09:53:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (23/41)13/20
1.74x (win $619 / loss $356)11.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.29515/15
Sortino 4.19810/10
$+0.0013 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 591 (41 markets)9.5/10
15/23 profitable days (65%)8.8/10
Max DD 101% of peak ($266 / $264)0/10

Badges

2
Whale
$206,781 invested
Consistent
15/23 profitable days

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,634,162$-70Vol: $119,275
🏛️ POLITICS#1,566,818$-224Vol: $101,853
📈 ECONOMICS#9,700$154Vol: $39,573
CRYPTO#224,888$11Vol: $12,380
🎭 CULTURE#648,239$-5Vol: $10,466
💰 FINANCE#531,405$-4Vol: $18

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-135
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$283,579
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
63B / 64S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-135
Vol: $283,579

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
23W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-135
Win Rate
56%
23W / 18L
Profit Factor
1.74x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $253 (1.8726600073991861% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$106
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$87
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$60
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$50
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$37
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$36
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$32
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$31
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$26

Top Losers

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-247
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?$-27
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?$-10
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-10
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$-10
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-8
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-6
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-6
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$-6
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.169
Sortino
0.136
HHI
272
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
8.4%
Half-Kelly
4.2%
Top-1 market
6%
Top-5 markets
29.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.4m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
31
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 24s — normal for humanCV 0.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.37
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.9%
Mid (20-55c)9.5%
High (>55c)82.5%

Sessions

#12
2/15/2026, 7:53:19 AM10 trades$52,8803 min
6/26/2026, 10:27:25 AM16 trades$48,6103 min
2/13/2026, 2:59:29 PM10 trades$42,9943 min
6/20/2026, 2:51:38 PM34 trades$37,7114 min
2/11/2026, 10:55:49 AM11 trades$31,9905 min
5/31/2026, 1:05:38 PM8 trades$24,6501 min
2/10/2026, 3:22:29 PM7 trades$22,3432 min
4/25/2026, 9:55:28 AM2 trades$6,2450 min
3/18/2026, 6:59:05 AM1 trades$6,1690 min
12/10/2025, 4:53:41 AM1 trades$7000 min
12/18/2025, 2:51:57 PM1 trades$6900 min
12/27/2025, 3:58:43 AM1 trades$6840 min
12/20/2025, 8:12:02 AM1 trades$6600 min
10/18/2024, 11:25:42 AM2 trades$4490 min
12/28/2025, 1:46:21 PM1 trades$4300 min
12/10/2024, 4:18:51 AM5 trades$2857 min
10/29/2024, 1:35:50 PM1 trades$2300 min
10/13/2024, 1:38:06 PM1 trades$2300 min
10/27/2024, 2:37:22 PM1 trades$2250 min
11/1/2024, 8:12:54 AM1 trades$2240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-18
11-21
03-12
07-22
12-28
02-11
03-18
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 71 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.37/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.9 / M9.5 / H82.5