@HowToBasic

41

0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2

~393d· 1763 markets · 5623 trades2026-08-02 09:48:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

82% (1424/1746)20/20
0.87x (win $90,947 / loss $104,966)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4570/15
Sortino -0.5050/10
$-0.0043 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 66 (1746 markets)10/10
269/356 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 209% of peak ($43,087 / $20,656)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 82%
Profitable
PnL $+8,454
Whale
$3,254,655 invested
Consistent
269/356 profitable days
High Roller
$6,999/day
Win Streak
31 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,454
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,254,655
Total Redeem
$69,329
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1763
total markets
Trades
3290B / 2333S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~393d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
82%
1424W / 322L events
Realized PnL
$8,454
Win Rate
82%
1424W / 322L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$64
Avg Loss
$-340

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18,694 (2.2112991102373565% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$8,172
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$6,507
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$4,016
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$3,683
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$2,822
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$2,641
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?$2,469
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$2,289
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Fonseca $2,014
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1,440

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-18,000
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-11,694
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-11,611
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$-5,799
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-5,699
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-4,717
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$-4,529
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-2,976
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$-2,958
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?$-2,047

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.024
Sortino
-0.014
HHI
47
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
8.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.1
Active
Markets / Day
3.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 827s — normal for humanCV 2.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active3.8 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.08
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.5%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)82.1%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 7:04:18 AM35 trades$76,0221 min
5/21/2026, 10:14:46 AM65 trades$65,1055 min
6/2/2026, 6:43:14 PM4 trades$55,5080 min
6/15/2026, 9:13:22 AM20 trades$45,2330 min
2/17/2026, 11:13:37 PM3 trades$44,3490 min
4/23/2026, 3:14:54 PM18 trades$41,17810 min
6/11/2026, 4:26:18 PM15 trades$41,1243 min
6/9/2026, 6:19:33 PM2 trades$40,0000 min
2/2/2026, 11:58:22 AM3 trades$36,6176 min
2/9/2026, 4:57:01 PM1 trades$35,0000 min
6/15/2026, 7:38:24 AM22 trades$34,4890 min
5/16/2026, 8:09:55 PM2 trades$34,0000 min
1/1/2026, 2:05:45 PM1 trades$30,0000 min
1/31/2026, 8:42:30 AM1 trades$30,0000 min
2/7/2026, 10:52:25 AM1 trades$30,0000 min
6/25/2026, 10:47:32 AM19 trades$27,1000 min
5/14/2026, 10:39:54 AM38 trades$25,8599 min
6/20/2026, 2:36:20 PM8 trades$25,6207 min
10/28/2025, 8:14:53 AM1 trades$24,3030 min
10/28/2025, 8:47:53 AM1 trades$24,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
07-17
09-27
11-30
01-31
04-28
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 128 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.5 / M11.4 / H82.1