@Ideal

#3,031,40739

0x240b9e1c5233b64e5b8855371cf27f53452df5ef

~133d· 201 markets · 1305 tradesVol: $387,1532026-08-02 15:43:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (122/180)18.9/20
0.80x (win $19,547 / loss $24,562)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8700/15
Sortino -0.9130/10
$-0.0254 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 235 (180 markets)10/10
63/83 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 344% of peak ($16,673 / $4,843)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 68%
DCA Master
Avg 6.0 entries/market
Whale
$197,384 invested
Consistent
63/83 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,632,335$-4,561Vol: $299,895
📈 ECONOMICS#633,667$-26Vol: $54,458
📢 MENTIONS#166,826$-145Vol: $13,720
🎭 CULTURE#594,131$-2Vol: $12,237
💻 TECH#2,050$571Vol: $3,872
CRYPTO#53,452$305Vol: $2,731
SPORTS#1,617,802$-60Vol: $239

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,919
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$387,153
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
201
total markets
Trades
1068B / 237S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~133d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $0
Week
$-16
Vol: $0
Month
$12
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,919
Vol: $387,153

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
122W / 58L events
Realized PnL
$-3,919
Win Rate
68%
122W / 58L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$160
Avg Loss
$-431

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,580 (1.4239137923555276% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Biden drop out by Monday?$2,646
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$1,654
Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?$1,281
1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?$1,183
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $739
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?$571
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?$539
Winning candidate also wins popular vote?$525
Trump abolishes IRS in 2025?$460
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?$440

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-4,960
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$-2,943
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$-2,335
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$-2,111
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-1,891
Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024?$-1,854
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$-1,669
Will RFK drop out before November?$-1,327
Will Biden say "Old" at DNC speech?$-1,084
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-969

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.045
Sortino
-0.025
HHI
138
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
18.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 619s — normal for humanCV 3.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.99
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.3%
Mid (20-55c)21%
High (>55c)67.7%

Sessions

#12
9/4/2025, 1:54:58 AM1 trades$8,6950 min
1/8/2026, 4:11:07 AM1 trades$6,9910 min
9/18/2025, 4:10:52 AM1 trades$5,6270 min
7/7/2025, 8:24:10 PM3 trades$5,4646 min
2/9/2025, 6:11:12 PM1 trades$4,7180 min
11/23/2024, 8:59:37 PM1 trades$4,3420 min
8/1/2024, 10:37:37 AM2 trades$3,7900 min
8/2/2024, 10:44:20 PM2 trades$3,6204 min
6/10/2025, 6:46:49 PM2 trades$3,4623 min
11/5/2024, 5:06:55 PM3 trades$3,4136 min
9/8/2025, 6:35:40 PM1 trades$3,2470 min
4/16/2025, 1:21:07 PM1 trades$3,2010 min
11/4/2024, 4:12:35 AM3 trades$3,0823 min
1/7/2026, 8:57:55 AM1 trades$2,9820 min
11/4/2024, 3:53:50 AM2 trades$2,8995 min
11/4/2024, 4:44:33 AM6 trades$2,70414 min
11/4/2024, 11:37:49 AM4 trades$2,6881 min
8/2/2024, 10:35:46 PM1 trades$2,3760 min
8/2/2024, 11:19:42 PM4 trades$2,3054 min
11/4/2024, 6:32:03 PM1 trades$2,2930 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-10
07-30
08-19
11-17
01-10
06-25
12-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 107 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.99/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.3 / M21 / H67.7