InvierteConSeb

@InvierteConSeb

#2,772,10840

0x9e003cc429fd8e3d95ee78bead7ebf021151adf9

~179d· 415 markets · 1962 tradesVol: $513,678 @InvierteconSeb2026-08-02 08:49:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (289/406)20/20
0.74x (win $2,258 / loss $3,031)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6980/15
Sortino -0.7270/10
$-0.0027 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 288 (406 markets)10/10
106/148 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 172% of peak ($1,962 / $1,141)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Whale
$282,960 invested
Consistent
106/148 profitable days
High Roller
$1,056/day
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,601,003$-599Vol: $257,356
📈 ECONOMICS#11,225$120Vol: $98,218
CRYPTO#97,942$97Vol: $62,612
💰 FINANCE#11,285$231Vol: $55,293
🎭 CULTURE#765,504$-55Vol: $34,870
🌤️ WEATHER#245,783$-10Vol: $2,459
SPORTS#1,619,279$-61Vol: $1,215
💻 TECH#193,292$-1Vol: $300
📢 MENTIONS#139,526$-18Vol: $113

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-292
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$513,678
Total Redeem
$385
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
415
total markets
Trades
1002B / 960S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~179d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
289W / 117L events
Realized PnL
$-292
Win Rate
71%
289W / 117L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $525 (1.801954732510288% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$244
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$181
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$75
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$62
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?$50
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$50
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$47
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?$47
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 25?$46

Top Losers

US strikes Iraq by February 28?$-1,038
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-602
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-185
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-150
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-133
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?$-90
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-72
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-61
Iran leadership change by April 30?$-55
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$-52

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.036
Sortino
-0.020
HHI
239
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
28%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 416s — normal for humanCV 2.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.73
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.6%
Mid (20-55c)4.8%
High (>55c)86.6%

Sessions

#12
2/2/2026, 1:19:20 AM4 trades$11,2336 min
2/1/2026, 11:05:22 AM2 trades$7,8731 min
1/5/2026, 4:56:59 PM2 trades$7,1103 min
2/4/2026, 11:42:31 PM2 trades$6,9412 min
2/3/2026, 12:49:52 AM4 trades$4,9903 min
1/6/2026, 8:10:37 AM1 trades$4,9750 min
2/5/2026, 1:58:37 PM1 trades$4,9550 min
2/5/2026, 10:04:51 AM1 trades$4,9500 min
1/31/2026, 4:19:02 AM3 trades$4,7911 min
2/4/2026, 3:35:52 AM5 trades$4,59011 min
1/31/2026, 12:35:48 PM1 trades$4,4870 min
2/7/2026, 11:20:23 AM2 trades$4,2293 min
1/31/2026, 12:18:20 PM1 trades$4,1730 min
2/6/2026, 2:02:35 PM6 trades$4,0736 min
1/21/2026, 10:53:28 AM3 trades$4,0071 min
1/10/2026, 1:48:02 AM1 trades$3,9840 min
2/11/2026, 2:06:03 PM5 trades$3,9256 min
2/4/2026, 3:19:48 AM5 trades$3,7426 min
2/27/2026, 8:15:27 AM11 trades$3,6412 min
2/28/2026, 7:11:53 PM3 trades$3,4193 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
11-27
01-25
02-20
03-22
05-03
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 122 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.6 / M4.8 / H86.6