@JerrySimon
#2,389,492490x67cd3b6b08245292cf75e42b231ef9ec11122f85
~30d· 58 markets · 134 tradesVol: $280,8632026-08-02 15:44:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
40% (19/48)4.8/20
1.22x (win $894 / loss $731)5.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.15215/15
Sortino 1.69510/10
$+0.0008 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 564 (48 markets)9.7/10
12/25 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 256% of peak ($418 / $164)0/10
Badges
1Whale
$205,226 invested
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#31,231$387Vol: $98,888
⚽ SPORTS#1,670,240$-96Vol: $86,598
📈 ECONOMICS#672,772$-351Vol: $56,957
₿ CRYPTO#58,659$248Vol: $16,396
🎭 CULTURE#797,183$-244Vol: $11,393
💰 FINANCE#547,721$-5Vol: $10,611
💻 TECH#38,083$2Vol: $5
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-56
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$280,863
Total Redeem
$5,299
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
71B / 63S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-56
Vol: $280,863
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
40%
19W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-56
Win Rate
40%
19W / 29L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$47
Avg Loss
$-27
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $491 (8.729489232959601% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?$252
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$122
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$117
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$111
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$66
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$43
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$32
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?$32
Top Losers
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$-258
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$-240
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$-100
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?$-29
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$-24
Arsenal wins the Premier League?$-20
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$-6
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-5
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.059
Sortino
0.072
HHI
250
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
26.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
59.0m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
37
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 0.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.08
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)8.5%
Mid (20-55c)14.1%
High (>55c)77.5%
Sessions
#126/26/2026, 3:54:37 PM19 trades$43,8116 min
2/14/2026, 7:40:37 AM11 trades$36,5056 min
6/20/2026, 8:33:14 AM15 trades$33,2966 min
2/11/2026, 7:50:19 AM13 trades$31,6368 min
2/13/2026, 8:35:21 AM12 trades$31,0276 min
5/26/2026, 9:42:16 AM14 trades$30,2944 min
2/5/2026, 12:57:53 PM5 trades$21,0695 min
6/20/2026, 8:44:41 AM4 trades$11,1111 min
5/26/2026, 9:35:14 AM4 trades$10,0500 min
4/25/2026, 9:46:46 AM2 trades$5,3210 min
3/23/2026, 9:37:39 AM1 trades$5,2940 min
2/5/2026, 1:08:55 PM1 trades$5,2580 min
2/13/2026, 8:47:09 AM1 trades$5,1780 min
12/20/2025, 7:42:24 AM1 trades$4300 min
11/14/2024, 10:55:13 PM2 trades$4281 min
12/27/2025, 3:46:27 AM1 trades$4250 min
11/18/2024, 1:16:47 PM3 trades$4205 min
12/28/2025, 2:02:43 PM1 trades$2700 min
12/19/2025, 10:27:44 AM1 trades$2480 min
12/6/2025, 2:35:07 PM1 trades$2400 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-13
12-15
06-21
12-06
01-31
02-14
06-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 458 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.5 / M14.1 / H77.5