Lythera

@Lythera

#2,955,97550

0xcb82d4f1ef4254cf507e18bc347d33fddb3b4bf9

~168d· 334 markets · 6239 tradesVol: $1,483,765 @Ferrari4u22026-08-02 09:49:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

50
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (148/312)8.7/20
1.18x (win $9,327 / loss $7,927)4.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.77214.5/15
Sortino 1.09410/10
$+0.0061 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 1421 (312 markets)5.4/10
54/98 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 98% of peak ($3,061 / $3,120)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Whale
$228,340 invested
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders

Categories

7
SPORTS#32,890$1,236Vol: $864,704
CRYPTO#1,608,108$-830Vol: $322,275
🏛️ POLITICS#1,396,898$-24Vol: $286,064
💰 FINANCE#593,874$-20Vol: $2,068
📢 MENTIONS#161,903$-86Vol: $1,531
🎭 CULTURE#622,573$-4Vol: $342
📈 ECONOMICS#613,898$-14Vol: $205

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,346
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,483,765
Total Redeem
$10
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
334
total markets
Trades
3182B / 3057S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~168d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $536
Week
$69
Vol: $536
Month
$98
Vol: $6,372
All Time
$-1,346
Vol: $1,483,765

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
148W / 164L events
Realized PnL
$-1,343
Win Rate
47%
148W / 164L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$63
Avg Loss
$-52

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,454 (2.572321142661394% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1,680
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-19?$1,238
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?$536
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$523
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?$369
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A$338
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?$308
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$249
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$230
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5$221

Top Losers

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-1,821
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-1,461
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-373
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?$-215
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage$-206
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage$-201
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-199
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-11?$-191
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-175

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.040
Sortino
0.040
HHI
306
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14%
Top-5 markets
32.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.3m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
20 min
Avg Trades / Session
25.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 82s — normal for humanCV 3.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal85% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.82
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.5%
Mid (20-55c)20.7%
High (>55c)68.8%

Sessions

#12
4/16/2026, 3:10:18 AM4 trades$10,7351 min
3/13/2026, 4:30:39 AM52 trades$9,77543 min
3/19/2026, 2:01:49 AM68 trades$8,05663 min
3/11/2026, 6:20:33 PM6 trades$6,1618 min
3/12/2026, 2:00:31 PM42 trades$5,81027 min
3/12/2026, 6:26:51 PM4 trades$5,1711 min
3/11/2026, 8:59:51 PM3 trades$5,0854 min
3/11/2026, 8:52:17 PM2 trades$5,0281 min
3/12/2026, 4:10:35 PM20 trades$5,02617 min
3/16/2026, 1:09:39 AM98 trades$4,983106 min
5/28/2026, 10:38:09 PM11 trades$4,7433 min
3/14/2026, 11:13:13 PM21 trades$4,38026 min
3/18/2026, 2:17:49 PM1 trades$4,0000 min
3/10/2026, 9:58:07 PM60 trades$3,98662 min
3/13/2026, 6:14:43 AM17 trades$3,9450 min
3/16/2026, 11:12:45 PM78 trades$3,61448 min
3/14/2026, 1:05:19 PM27 trades$3,58418 min
3/20/2026, 11:55:01 AM5 trades$3,47712 min
3/16/2026, 2:14:27 PM60 trades$3,25635 min
3/15/2026, 1:03:43 PM4 trades$3,2217 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-07
07-05
11-24
01-11
03-05
05-16
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 60 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.5 / M20.7 / H68.8