@Magic-Mushroom-Predicting
#70,338950x08354f0ec613f7b8a0abc0b7cacf7cee899f0e07
~27d· 90 markets · 450 tradesVol: $463,5392026-08-02 09:52:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
91% (72/79)20/20
19.44x (win $22,972 / loss $1,182)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.84015/15
Sortino 105.40810/10
$+0.1533 per $1 invested7.7/10
HHI 951 (79 markets)7.7/10
19/21 profitable days (90%)10/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($862 / $22,634)10/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 91%
Profitable
PnL $+1,282
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market
Whale
$142,170 invested
Consistent
19/21 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 4%
Win Streak
37 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#25,075$576Vol: $377,097
⚽ SPORTS#68,995$330Vol: $61,407
₿ CRYPTO#50,281$352Vol: $13,771
📈 ECONOMICS#98,960$1Vol: $8,859
🌤️ WEATHER#19,958$13Vol: $2,009
🎭 CULTURE#68,738$10Vol: $384
💰 FINANCE#209,302$0Vol: $13
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,282
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$463,539
Total Redeem
$4,257
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
90
total markets
Trades
212B / 238S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,282
Vol: $463,539
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
91%
72W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$1,282
Win Rate
91%
72W / 7L
Profit Factor
19.44x
Avg Win
$319
Avg Loss
$-1,182
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,571 (16.050114695004915% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19,305
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$946
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$320
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$320
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$214
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$206
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$204
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$199
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$166
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$165
Top Losers
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,182
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.247
Sortino
inf
HHI
693
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.167
Kelly %
50.8%
Half-Kelly
25.4%
Top-1 market
17.8%
Top-5 markets
47.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.4m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.7
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 159s — normal for humanCV 2.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.15
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.4%
Mid (20-55c)32.1%
High (>55c)65.6%
Sessions
#126/15/2026, 8:16:18 PM17 trades$22,3699 min
6/20/2026, 12:19:41 PM5 trades$16,0060 min
5/9/2026, 4:22:02 AM28 trades$11,1414 min
11/2/2025, 4:45:07 PM5 trades$9,6048 min
6/8/2026, 7:04:12 PM4 trades$9,3920 min
4/14/2026, 9:30:47 AM7 trades$8,2680 min
1/4/2026, 1:32:17 PM1 trades$8,0410 min
1/13/2026, 10:31:34 PM2 trades$7,7371 min
10/22/2025, 12:14:47 PM1 trades$7,6800 min
6/10/2026, 3:42:01 PM3 trades$7,0410 min
6/10/2026, 2:27:19 PM2 trades$6,8000 min
2/4/2026, 10:34:44 AM3 trades$6,0107 min
11/1/2025, 8:07:57 PM2 trades$6,0060 min
5/8/2026, 1:44:45 PM11 trades$5,3482 min
7/17/2026, 2:15:24 PM24 trades$4,2085 min
1/17/2026, 11:27:52 AM1 trades$4,1650 min
1/27/2026, 6:27:37 AM2 trades$4,1431 min
1/14/2026, 8:42:18 AM5 trades$4,0546 min
2/2/2026, 7:47:38 PM1 trades$3,9600 min
2/3/2026, 1:56:50 PM1 trades$3,9600 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-22
01-04
01-14
02-02
02-26
05-08
06-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.4 / M32.1 / H65.6