@MegaPump
#3,031,801310x4518b0847bdf19e357e818575cced1ff024a7180
~202d· 158 markets · 3748 tradesVol: $3,641,8712026-08-02 07:15:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
89% (135/152)20/20
0.64x (win $23,601 / loss $36,767)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9520/15
Sortino -1.0560/10
$-0.0140 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2304 (152 markets)1/10
64/77 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 674% of peak ($33,828 / $5,018)0/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 89%
Contrarian
72% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 19.5 entries/market
Whale
$939,482 invested
Consistent
64/77 profitable days
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,392$-14,041Vol: $3,101,125
💰 FINANCE#1,204$4,356Vol: $294,764
₿ CRYPTO#29,936$1,022Vol: $123,694
📈 ECONOMICS#680,702$-3,148Vol: $24,285
💻 TECH#252,706$-229Vol: $11,953
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,999
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,641,871
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
158
total markets
Trades
2208B / 1540S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~202d
Periods
#2Today
$48
Vol: $0
Week
$594
Vol: $0
Month
$70
Vol: $2,180
All Time
$-3,999
Vol: $3,641,871
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
89%
135W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-4,005
Win Rate
89%
135W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$175
Avg Loss
$-2,626
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,934 (4.228345768535442% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$12,597
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?$3,030
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30?$1,307
Will Ukraine take the Kursk Nuclear Plant by Aug 31?$1,015
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?$584
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?$541
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first?$522
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?$424
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?$339
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) 10b or more one week after launch?$330
Top Losers
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-26,705
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$-3,834
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?$-3,399
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?$-828
Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$-815
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$-550
Pavel Durov released in August?$-229
$ARB above $1 one week after launch?$-200
Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$-147
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first?$-43
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.050
Sortino
-0.022
HHI
1532
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
59.8%
Half-Kelly
29.9%
Top-1 market
27.4%
Top-5 markets
65.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.1m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.1
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 100s — normal for humanCV 3.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
19.51
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)69.6%
High (>55c)28.1%
Sessions
#1210/7/2024, 2:27:41 PM11 trades$51,4749 min
11/5/2024, 10:40:51 PM21 trades$41,34511 min
10/4/2024, 9:09:23 PM4 trades$37,0071 min
10/8/2024, 10:12:21 AM23 trades$35,4395 min
10/8/2024, 12:29:57 PM44 trades$32,23231 min
11/5/2024, 10:17:07 PM4 trades$31,6203 min
10/7/2024, 1:28:55 PM3 trades$27,0985 min
10/7/2024, 2:14:23 PM2 trades$25,9911 min
10/6/2024, 12:45:02 AM3 trades$25,9811 min
10/8/2024, 8:52:11 AM15 trades$24,9784 min
10/7/2024, 8:14:27 PM37 trades$22,96618 min
10/13/2024, 3:30:03 AM43 trades$22,8634 min
10/13/2024, 3:20:05 AM1 trades$22,8630 min
11/2/2024, 11:33:29 PM14 trades$22,2044 min
8/29/2024, 8:00:25 AM8 trades$21,74714 min
11/4/2024, 3:03:09 PM30 trades$19,6395 min
10/5/2024, 8:04:56 PM35 trades$18,73119 min
10/5/2024, 5:44:53 PM1 trades$18,6930 min
10/7/2024, 7:54:45 PM31 trades$17,63814 min
10/19/2024, 6:24:40 AM65 trades$17,3259 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-10
05-23
10-14
12-11
05-23
10-21
05-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 74 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.51/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L2.3 / M69.6 / H28.1