@Mithrandiric
800x99cbb81f3de786e81b56077598875d8b0f6ff629
~63d· 78 markets · 1068 trades2026-08-02 09:51:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (41/74)12.7/20
3.37x (win $32,121 / loss $9,541)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.74915/15
Sortino 14.58110/10
$+0.1328 per $1 invested6.6/10
HHI 1721 (74 markets)3.9/10
24/43 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($3,930 / $22,673)10/10
Badges
6DCA Master
Avg 13.5 entries/market
Whale
$169,979 invested
High Roller
$1,491/day
Cool Head
Max DD 17%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-4,094
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$169,979
Total Redeem
$32,056
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
78
total markets
Trades
452B / 616S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~63d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
41W / 33L events
Realized PnL
$-4,094
Win Rate
55%
41W / 33L
Profit Factor
3.37x
Avg Win
$783
Avg Loss
$-382
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,984 (6.102331375254937% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$15,030
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$8,120
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$1,834
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?$1,383
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$961
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$560
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$523
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$401
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$389
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$380
Top Losers
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-3,930
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?$-1,727
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-932
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-893
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?$-400
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-315
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-278
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-231
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-133
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?$-99
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.194
Sortino
0.493
HHI
2127
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.140
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
39.1%
Top-5 markets
73.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
9.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.8
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 444s — normal for humanCV 3.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.47
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)11.9%
Mid (20-55c)8.2%
High (>55c)79.9%
Sessions
#124/30/2026, 6:50:08 AM12 trades$37,0502 min
4/15/2026, 11:58:26 AM10 trades$33,7063 min
4/16/2026, 7:00:06 AM39 trades$33,2932 min
4/11/2026, 9:42:53 PM6 trades$31,2410 min
6/24/2026, 5:04:26 AM1 trades$13,0530 min
4/7/2026, 11:07:57 PM30 trades$8,1740 min
4/15/2026, 7:09:34 PM21 trades$6,1210 min
4/8/2026, 9:50:05 AM2 trades$6,1130 min
6/5/2026, 10:57:37 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
4/15/2026, 3:11:14 PM33 trades$4,1331 min
4/8/2026, 1:48:33 PM22 trades$3,9350 min
4/10/2026, 12:42:17 PM39 trades$3,8750 min
5/5/2026, 3:41:08 PM46 trades$3,5342 min
4/29/2026, 9:54:32 PM4 trades$3,2901 min
7/7/2026, 8:25:10 PM27 trades$3,1451 min
5/23/2026, 7:36:26 PM41 trades$2,9469 min
4/11/2026, 5:07:19 PM2 trades$2,8800 min
5/3/2026, 7:35:12 PM4 trades$2,8552 min
4/7/2026, 10:33:55 PM29 trades$2,8070 min
4/12/2026, 8:28:27 AM2 trades$2,8020 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-28
04-08
05-01
06-05
06-20
07-01
07-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 12 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.47/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.9 / M8.2 / H79.9