@NatalieLaw
#2,772,276660x4b2f12695653edfc9e9d76a62d95d432ba4c4a32
~29d· 52 markets · 116 tradesVol: $265,5932026-08-02 09:51:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (24/43)12.9/20
1.69x (win $1,149 / loss $678)11.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.57015/15
Sortino 3.41410/10
$+0.0024 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 613 (43 markets)9.4/10
14/24 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 115% of peak ($539 / $471)0/10
Badges
2Whale
$196,730 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Categories
7⚽ SPORTS#1,635,348$-70Vol: $103,668
🏛️ POLITICS#65,141$97Vol: $102,756
📈 ECONOMICS#7,757$223Vol: $46,066
🎭 CULTURE#671,591$-8Vol: $9,438
₿ CRYPTO#1,590,844$-536Vol: $3,653
💰 FINANCE#132,518$1Vol: $4
💻 TECH#114,896$0Vol: $2
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-292
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$265,593
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
65B / 51S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-292
Vol: $265,593
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
24W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-292
Win Rate
56%
24W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.69x
Avg Win
$48
Avg Loss
$-38
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $553 (1.8934114503032171% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$326
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$125
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$101
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$92
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$77
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$76
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$56
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$56
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$38
Top Losers
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-534
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$-42
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?$-31
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-28
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-6
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-6
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-6
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-6
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-6
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.132
Sortino
0.119
HHI
268
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
28.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
39.7m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
31
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 26s — normal for humanCV 0.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.05
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.6%
Mid (20-55c)10.8%
High (>55c)84.6%
Sessions
#122/15/2026, 7:41:17 AM11 trades$50,0104 min
6/26/2026, 10:54:37 AM20 trades$43,7296 min
5/31/2026, 12:48:55 PM12 trades$33,5242 min
6/20/2026, 2:34:22 PM16 trades$33,4408 min
2/13/2026, 2:38:57 PM7 trades$33,3642 min
2/11/2026, 10:42:49 AM6 trades$22,6553 min
2/10/2026, 3:33:33 PM7 trades$20,3824 min
2/13/2026, 2:29:51 PM2 trades$5,6691 min
4/28/2026, 8:50:06 AM2 trades$5,6170 min
3/18/2026, 6:56:03 AM1 trades$5,5760 min
1/29/2026, 6:03:32 AM2 trades$9020 min
7/1/2025, 8:57:39 AM3 trades$8101 min
12/9/2025, 2:51:04 PM1 trades$7970 min
1/5/2025, 12:11:37 AM3 trades$7281 min
10/23/2025, 8:30:13 AM3 trades$6012 min
12/27/2025, 3:57:49 AM1 trades$3420 min
12/20/2025, 8:07:46 AM1 trades$3300 min
10/31/2024, 5:40:02 AM2 trades$3201 min
12/19/2025, 10:32:56 AM1 trades$2450 min
12/28/2025, 1:48:05 PM3 trades$2386 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
12-15
06-23
12-27
02-11
04-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 179 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.6 / M10.8 / H84.6