NotBakerMcKenzie

@NotBakerMcKenzie

#96486

0xd99f3bec8e060ada0aef0c4057695dd5bc22fcdc

~45d· 43 markets · 7570 tradesVol: $93,617,7582026-08-02 09:53:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

95% (41/43)20/20
37.02x (win $215,011 / loss $5,807)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 11.69515/15
Sortino 174.02610/10
$+0.0028 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 1274 (43 markets)6.1/10
24/25 profitable days (96%)10/10
Max DD 2% of peak ($4,593 / $209,203)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 95%
Profitable
PnL $+211,401
DCA Master
Avg 176.0 entries/market
Whale
$74,243,546 invested
Consistent
24/25 profitable days
High Roller
$873,453/day
Cool Head
Max DD 2%
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$211,401
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$93,617,758
Total Redeem
$50,538,610
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
6673B / 897S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
95%
41W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$211,401
Win Rate
95%
41W / 2L
Profit Factor
37.02x
Avg Win
$5,244
Avg Loss
$-2,904

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $121,986 (0.5770379734356905% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$45,981
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$45,661
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$30,344
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$22,844
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$17,758
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$12,866
Netanyahu out by March 31?$7,981
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$4,090
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$3,474
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$3,226

Top Losers

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-5,774
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$-34

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.600
Sortino
inf
HHI
1302
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.3%
Top-5 markets
68.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
89.1
Very active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.0m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
35 min
Avg Trades / Session
62.9

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 7.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock89 trades/day — mass trading0.5 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
176.05
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.3%
Mid (20-55c)0.8%
High (>55c)98.9%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 8:24:07 AM261 trades$9,203,77793 min
4/10/2026, 9:12:45 PM336 trades$5,438,981197 min
3/31/2026, 11:22:07 PM2 trades$5,005,7520 min
4/26/2026, 11:53:44 PM26 trades$3,408,40023 min
4/8/2026, 4:36:51 AM222 trades$3,308,757126 min
4/8/2026, 2:44:43 AM286 trades$3,290,391106 min
4/29/2026, 11:11:28 PM27 trades$2,744,55811 min
4/24/2026, 10:52:10 AM4 trades$2,219,9980 min
4/25/2026, 2:33:36 AM7 trades$2,205,0080 min
4/1/2026, 4:34:43 AM8 trades$2,028,0961 min
4/8/2026, 1:28:25 AM45 trades$1,854,4088 min
4/9/2026, 2:57:25 AM32 trades$1,648,34418 min
4/24/2026, 4:00:48 AM161 trades$1,611,358160 min
4/6/2026, 5:59:47 PM126 trades$1,460,15934 min
4/24/2026, 3:29:36 AM22 trades$1,321,98926 min
4/10/2026, 4:06:53 PM143 trades$1,312,935132 min
5/9/2026, 9:20:45 AM21 trades$1,303,09724 min
6/3/2026, 12:09:31 AM70 trades$1,262,3953 min
5/9/2026, 8:05:34 AM78 trades$1,167,61670 min
5/12/2026, 7:19:41 PM9 trades$1,122,5206 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-01
04-18
04-24
05-01
05-19
05-30
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 176.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.3 / M0.8 / H98.9