@Praescientia
#84,615580x94bbb8f7632d11dead6b8970646ad5655a5fc320
~161d· 3954 markets · 30147 tradesVol: $1,040,2042026-08-02 14:37:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
53% (1948/3704)11.3/20
1.07x (win $56,197 / loss $52,675)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.01915/15
Sortino 1.52110/10
$+0.0112 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 50 (3704 markets)10/10
82/156 profitable days (53%)5.6/10
Max DD 60% of peak ($3,274 / $5,440)2/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+942
DCA Master
Avg 7.6 entries/market
Whale
$315,591 invested
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#10,074$2,501Vol: $585,344
⚽ SPORTS#1,768,582$-309Vol: $193,843
₿ CRYPTO#1,581,115$-437Vol: $43,238
💰 FINANCE#653,784$-1,231Vol: $38,582
📈 ECONOMICS#676,126$-610Vol: $33,496
📢 MENTIONS#643$2,433Vol: $33,495
🎭 CULTURE#810,931$-861Vol: $26,476
💻 TECH#253,442$-276Vol: $12,936
🌤️ WEATHER#265,479$-26Vol: $2,597
Overview
#1Net PnL
$933
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,040,204
Total Redeem
$10,083
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3954
total markets
Trades
23306B / 6841S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~161d
Periods
#2Today
$-37
Vol: $1,497
Week
$-1,125
Vol: $1,497
Month
$-119
Vol: $5,502
All Time
$933
Vol: $1,040,204
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
1948W / 1756L events
Realized PnL
$942
Win Rate
53%
1948W / 1756L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-30
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,960 (6.324956221809499% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3,943
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1,043
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$973
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$934
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$867
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$679
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$650
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$646
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$623
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$550
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-2,042
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-1,798
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-1,294
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-868
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-619
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-548
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-499
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-478
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-446
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-400
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.053
Sortino
0.066
HHI
41
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
10.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
61.5
Very active
Markets / Day
8.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.3m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
68 min
Avg Trades / Session
115.8
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 1.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock62 trades/day — mass trading8.1 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 0:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.6
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6%
Mid (20-55c)43.6%
High (>55c)50.4%
Sessions
#123/1/2026, 12:50:13 PM614 trades$3,780435 min
2/28/2026, 3:43:17 PM447 trades$3,714305 min
2/24/2026, 3:00:48 AM430 trades$3,053167 min
2/24/2026, 10:41:52 PM451 trades$2,859187 min
2/25/2026, 10:01:26 PM343 trades$2,438174 min
2/25/2026, 7:28:54 PM298 trades$2,235148 min
2/25/2026, 6:34:40 AM237 trades$2,134156 min
2/25/2026, 1:54:52 AM236 trades$2,085132 min
2/26/2026, 5:30:46 AM153 trades$2,04977 min
2/24/2026, 12:24:08 AM254 trades$1,891109 min
3/24/2026, 5:10:51 PM177 trades$1,83866 min
3/23/2026, 11:34:07 AM120 trades$1,806110 min
3/8/2026, 10:20:03 PM11 trades$1,48311 min
2/24/2026, 8:50:44 AM265 trades$1,458137 min
6/9/2026, 2:55:16 AM5 trades$1,3188 min
2/25/2026, 9:16:14 AM135 trades$1,20978 min
3/28/2026, 11:03:35 AM193 trades$1,19978 min
3/23/2026, 11:10:19 AM14 trades$1,09416 min
6/7/2026, 6:32:24 PM22 trades$1,07731 min
6/6/2026, 12:16:19 AM5 trades$1,0454 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
03-22
04-17
05-14
06-10
07-06
08-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 69 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6 / M43.6 / H50.4