ProfitMuhammedPBUH

@ProfitMuhammedPBUH

#3,062,05322

0xae7c98235d5dc797edfa3d3af2e0334238a4487e

~132d· 682 markets · 11896 tradesVol: $6,892,6972026-08-02 08:54:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (330/658)10.1/20
0.60x (win $254,010 / loss $423,340)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3910/15
Sortino -3.0580/10
$-0.1193 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 423 (658 markets)10/10
43/110 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 337% of peak ($240,818 / $71,406)0/10

Badges

6
Lottery Player
53% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 16.7 entries/market
Whale
$1,419,351 invested
High Roller
$2,903/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,681$-76,609Vol: $5,723,906
🎭 CULTURE#659$12,906Vol: $539,407
💰 FINANCE#312$16,357Vol: $348,528
📢 MENTIONS#129$15,601Vol: $81,203
CRYPTO#3,749$12,576Vol: $76,988
📈 ECONOMICS#4,928$465Vol: $64,722
SPORTS#1,771,285$-322Vol: $25,425
💻 TECH#11,952$24Vol: $7,836
🌤️ WEATHER#232,626$-6Vol: $112

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-17,375
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,892,697
Total Redeem
$95,962
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
682
total markets
Trades
6998B / 4898S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~132d

Periods

#2
Today
$-8,819
Vol: $0
Week
$-5,322
Vol: $0
Month
$-8,350
Vol: $2,396
All Time
$-17,375
Vol: $6,892,697

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
330W / 328L events
Realized PnL
$-20,451
Win Rate
50%
330W / 328L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$770
Avg Loss
$-1,348

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $108,673 (5.313925724319664% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$61,240
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$38,864
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$8,568
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?$8,465
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$7,898
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$7,455
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?$6,966
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$6,412
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?$4,841
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$4,391

Top Losers

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-43,363
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-42,354
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-34,885
Iran leadership change by April 30?$-32,856
Iran leadership change by May 31?$-30,195
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 22?$-26,170
Iran leadership change by June 30?$-24,597
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-16,479
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21?$-16,320
Iran coup attempt by June 30?$-11,163

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.125
Sortino
-0.137
HHI
167
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.128
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
21.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.3m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
40.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 122s — normal for humanCV 4.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency1.4 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.72
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.4%
Mid (20-55c)21.3%
High (>55c)25.3%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 5:30:34 PM26 trades$148,7535 min
4/12/2026, 12:53:07 PM417 trades$136,6421 min
2/28/2026, 9:29:49 PM22 trades$89,57214 min
6/14/2026, 9:42:18 PM75 trades$76,0021 min
5/11/2026, 10:21:57 PM17 trades$68,9910 min
5/11/2026, 12:05:59 PM20 trades$68,3050 min
2/26/2026, 1:41:16 PM6 trades$64,0268 min
4/13/2026, 4:45:05 AM26 trades$58,3780 min
5/1/2026, 12:27:44 AM15 trades$51,5540 min
5/26/2026, 5:02:17 PM39 trades$50,6156 min
2/28/2026, 7:30:33 PM11 trades$49,8004 min
3/4/2026, 2:03:03 AM50 trades$48,76734 min
4/18/2026, 8:11:52 PM7 trades$42,4870 min
3/21/2026, 4:47:29 PM20 trades$42,44419 min
4/23/2026, 9:22:30 PM187 trades$41,09844 min
4/21/2026, 7:48:32 PM63 trades$38,86115 min
4/23/2026, 5:17:50 PM68 trades$37,18512 min
3/8/2026, 7:19:27 AM21 trades$37,04611 min
5/1/2026, 2:19:44 AM22 trades$35,1891 min
4/17/2026, 2:03:56 PM36 trades$32,8618 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-25
03-16
04-03
04-25
05-17
06-15
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 137 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.72/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.4 / M21.3 / H25.3