@QMG-VOL

#55,69637

0xf7ca6c9b65a15721eaa298898c666d816e94cd59

~116d· 99 markets · 1672 tradesVol: $615,6282026-08-02 06:05:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

85% (78/92)20/20
0.25x (win $4,879 / loss $19,514)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1830/15
Sortino -2.1900/10
$-0.0344 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1033 (92 markets)7.3/10
48/58 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 4435% of peak ($18,579 / $419)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+1,830
DCA Master
Avg 17.2 entries/market
Whale
$425,833 invested
Consistent
48/58 profitable days
High Roller
$1,479/day
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
💰 FINANCE#12,108$206Vol: $125,239
📈 ECONOMICS#3,791$712Vol: $109,688
🏛️ POLITICS#23,809$633Vol: $97,091
⚽ SPORTS#59,868$447Vol: $38,768
🎭 CULTURE#20,443$102Vol: $24,000
🌤️ WEATHER#30,667$5Vol: $10,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,830
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$615,628
Total Redeem
$3,100
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
99
total markets
Trades
856B / 816S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~116d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$274
Vol: $0
Month
$8
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,830
Vol: $615,628

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
85%
78W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$1,830
Win Rate
85%
78W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$63
Avg Loss
$-1,501

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,780 (1.5187040729915045% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$2,249
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$280
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?$251
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$210
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?$205
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$172
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$117
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$106
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?$90
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$79

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$-16,628
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-2,313
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$-294
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-117
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-40
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$-39
Will Trump Leave China on May 15?$-24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?$-15
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?$-14
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.113
Sortino
-0.049
HHI
703
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.038
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.6%
Top-5 markets
41.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 460s — normal for humanCV 2.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.17
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.1%
Mid (20-55c)10.5%
High (>55c)85.4%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 6:54:29 PM10 trades$27,3861 min
6/25/2026, 10:06:40 AM100 trades$15,8665 min
6/7/2026, 1:20:15 PM78 trades$13,8524 min
7/26/2026, 11:04:31 PM6 trades$11,7741 min
3/11/2026, 1:48:53 PM2 trades$11,5330 min
3/6/2026, 3:14:07 PM2 trades$11,0834 min
5/2/2026, 11:40:48 AM1 trades$10,5490 min
4/2/2026, 1:48:33 PM8 trades$10,5008 min
6/15/2026, 5:44:22 PM5 trades$10,3480 min
6/21/2026, 9:12:37 PM2 trades$9,9700 min
5/29/2026, 8:01:04 AM2 trades$9,8700 min
6/19/2026, 10:23:59 AM10 trades$8,9822 min
6/2/2026, 4:53:15 PM9 trades$8,1172 min
7/16/2026, 2:37:49 PM4 trades$8,0004 min
6/23/2026, 7:46:38 PM5 trades$7,9881 min
6/5/2026, 4:01:49 PM16 trades$7,5754 min
6/29/2026, 3:42:25 PM24 trades$6,7511 min
4/2/2026, 8:58:35 AM4 trades$6,6803 min
6/12/2026, 7:55:40 AM8 trades$5,9425 min
6/24/2026, 9:54:52 AM18 trades$5,8741 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-17
02-11
04-26
05-18
06-20
07-03
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.1 / M10.5 / H85.4