@RealKeyserSoze

#36,05180

0xaddbe6eef8e9f57ea30b77817739f12d33514f44

~85d· 94 markets · 358 tradesVol: $171,7342026-08-02 09:49:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (62/89)19.8/20
1.63x (win $6,499 / loss $3,998)10.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.08915/15
Sortino 5.92310/10
$+0.0385 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 723 (89 markets)8.9/10
33/47 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 51% of peak ($1,540 / $3,042)3.9/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+3,187
Whale
$64,964 invested
Consistent
33/47 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#8,940$2,983Vol: $113,459
📈 ECONOMICS#2,675$1,231Vol: $37,450
⚽ SPORTS#1,825,012$-988Vol: $9,552
💰 FINANCE#638,495$-161Vol: $7,251
💻 TECH#6,567$84Vol: $2,672
🎭 CULTURE#37,696$34Vol: $1,200
🌤️ WEATHER#24,771$8Vol: $150

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,192
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$171,734
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
94
total markets
Trades
240B / 118S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~85d

Periods

#2
Today
$41
Vol: $0
Week
$-138
Vol: $0
Month
$-36
Vol: $0
All Time
$3,192
Vol: $171,734

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
62W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$3,187
Win Rate
70%
62W / 27L
Profit Factor
1.63x
Avg Win
$105
Avg Loss
$-148

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,074 (0.9643628035389346% of PnL)

Top Winners

US recession in 2025?$1,142
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$1,077
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?$855
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition$708
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?$582
Maduro out in 2025?$552
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$219
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$128
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$122
Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?$113

Top Losers

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$-963
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-644
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?$-627
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?$-561
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$-321
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-273
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-152
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-135
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$-100
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-69

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.160
Sortino
0.192
HHI
504
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.043
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.3%
Top-5 markets
41.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 170s — normal for humanCV 1.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal4% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.45
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.7%
Mid (20-55c)18.3%
High (>55c)80%

Sessions

#12
11/2/2025, 5:04:21 AM5 trades$6,8868 min
9/17/2025, 6:24:42 PM2 trades$6,8480 min
12/18/2025, 12:13:20 AM8 trades$6,7255 min
9/17/2025, 4:32:34 PM2 trades$6,4090 min
11/28/2025, 1:28:21 AM2 trades$5,0292 min
7/3/2026, 4:52:16 PM9 trades$4,6003 min
5/22/2025, 10:48:01 AM2 trades$4,2031 min
11/28/2025, 6:01:35 PM1 trades$4,1090 min
5/28/2025, 8:50:56 PM2 trades$3,6031 min
11/25/2025, 1:47:51 AM2 trades$3,5260 min
1/23/2025, 4:43:55 PM4 trades$3,2853 min
4/29/2025, 4:54:36 AM2 trades$3,1521 min
4/29/2025, 2:52:02 AM6 trades$3,0065 min
12/19/2025, 10:28:04 AM1 trades$3,0000 min
1/25/2025, 10:07:21 PM2 trades$1,7843 min
11/24/2025, 5:30:49 AM2 trades$1,7260 min
11/2/2025, 3:39:11 AM4 trades$1,7259 min
1/27/2025, 4:06:43 PM1 trades$1,6990 min
2/1/2025, 6:11:48 AM1 trades$1,4830 min
1/6/2026, 3:59:15 AM1 trades$1,4340 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-13
01-22
02-11
05-28
12-02
01-15
02-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 70 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.7 / M18.3 / H80