SchrodingerBet

@SchrodingerBet

#4,29996

0x5a1cd342c117a4edb1e283a306ccfd60a3d4970a

~106d· 134 markets · 3109 tradesVol: $2,524,377 @SchrodingerBet2026-08-02 07:17:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (108/130)20/20
7.49x (win $169,412 / loss $22,612)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.17115/15
Sortino 30.74310/10
$+0.1104 per $1 invested5.5/10
HHI 400 (130 markets)10/10
55/70 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($11,707 / $146,800)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Profitable
PnL $+40,092
DCA Master
Avg 22.2 entries/market
Whale
$1,330,069 invested
Consistent
55/70 profitable days
High Roller
$2,800/day
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders

Categories

5
CRYPTO#883$45,747Vol: $1,249,203
SPORTS#1,871,900$-5,738Vol: $1,014,725
🏛️ POLITICS#49,958$163Vol: $186,701
📈 ECONOMICS#654,857$-80Vol: $70,647
💰 FINANCE#329,704$-0Vol: $3,100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$40,092
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,524,377
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
134
total markets
Trades
2431B / 678S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~106d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$40,092
Vol: $2,524,377

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
108W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$40,092
Win Rate
83%
108W / 22L
Profit Factor
7.49x
Avg Win
$1,569
Avg Loss
$-1,131

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $144,206 (3.5968858040865626% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$97,670
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$41,407
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$5,129
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$3,717
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?$3,450
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?$1,827
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1,718
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?$1,550
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?$1,180
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?$934

Top Losers

Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-9,905
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-3,875
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5$-1,245
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?$-1,000
Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$-953
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-915
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$-751
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?$-720
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?$-622
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?$-560

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.165
Sortino
0.738
HHI
369
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.113
Kelly %
39.1%
Half-Kelly
19.6%
Top-1 market
11.6%
Top-5 markets
35.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
45s
between trades
Avg Gap
39.1m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 45s — normal for humanCV 3.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.25
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.4%
Mid (20-55c)12.1%
High (>55c)61.5%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 5:22:58 PM186 trades$192,15433 min
6/21/2026, 9:47:49 PM429 trades$166,632115 min
6/25/2026, 9:15:37 PM172 trades$72,33346 min
12/26/2025, 8:28:07 AM1 trades$49,7500 min
6/24/2026, 7:38:05 PM38 trades$49,3035 min
6/23/2026, 1:41:26 PM18 trades$28,2008 min
1/10/2026, 12:34:26 PM11 trades$26,1699 min
11/28/2025, 1:04:43 PM1 trades$24,9750 min
6/24/2026, 8:32:34 PM50 trades$24,82913 min
12/31/2025, 9:48:09 AM2 trades$18,9491 min
4/4/2026, 1:56:31 PM7 trades$18,0000 min
4/6/2026, 6:22:59 PM22 trades$17,8000 min
4/2/2026, 7:34:29 PM5 trades$17,1000 min
1/10/2026, 7:35:42 AM3 trades$15,3092 min
4/1/2026, 7:51:17 AM25 trades$15,2200 min
12/31/2025, 2:14:03 PM3 trades$15,0331 min
7/18/2026, 9:03:24 PM30 trades$14,80911 min
6/22/2026, 9:01:41 PM16 trades$12,7260 min
6/21/2026, 6:03:40 PM31 trades$12,68132 min
12/16/2025, 7:09:13 PM4 trades$10,3812 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-24
12-05
12-21
01-15
02-16
04-02
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 76 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.4 / M12.1 / H61.5