@Scrimpy

89

0x9cab6c8ce423e51ed8f887ac722d787f5740f7c2

~52d· 60 markets · 1040 trades2026-08-02 08:50:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (30/51)14.4/20
8.35x (win $41,842 / loss $5,009)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.72715/15
Sortino 61.64610/10
$+0.1552 per $1 invested7.8/10
HHI 1213 (51 markets)6.4/10
19/27 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 6% of peak ($2,189 / $36,832)10/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+15,367
DCA Master
Avg 19.1 entries/market
Whale
$237,286 invested
Consistent
19/27 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 6%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$15,367
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$237,286
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
60
total markets
Trades
531B / 509S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
30W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$15,367
Win Rate
59%
30W / 21L
Profit Factor
8.35x
Avg Win
$1,395
Avg Loss
$-264

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $33,020 (2.148766644411213% of PnL)

Top Winners

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$29,036
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2,095
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$1,889
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1,478
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1,402
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$1,132
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1,014
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$800
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$778
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$560

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-2,100
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-1,330
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5$-239
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-199
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-168
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5$-157
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score$-154
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$-132
Spread: England (-1.5)$-129
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5$-126

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.243
Sortino
1.798
HHI
921
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.170
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.8%
Top-5 markets
60.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.7m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 203s — normal for humanCV 2.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.08
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.4%
Mid (20-55c)10.5%
High (>55c)76.1%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 2:12:22 AM6 trades$37,7290 min
6/30/2026, 2:44:02 PM4 trades$21,4022 min
5/15/2026, 12:55:31 AM283 trades$19,2300 min
3/21/2026, 2:40:45 PM2 trades$16,7621 min
6/29/2026, 11:46:19 AM12 trades$15,1099 min
6/29/2026, 10:55:01 AM58 trades$13,9705 min
6/30/2026, 1:30:44 PM22 trades$10,52411 min
5/15/2026, 2:04:38 AM1 trades$10,0300 min
5/19/2026, 2:27:45 PM11 trades$9,04710 min
2/11/2026, 3:02:51 AM5 trades$9,0083 min
6/30/2026, 12:46:52 PM8 trades$8,99310 min
6/29/2026, 11:16:31 AM27 trades$8,97410 min
6/22/2026, 4:10:37 PM22 trades$8,73131 min
6/19/2026, 11:09:28 PM1 trades$7,0000 min
4/22/2026, 9:21:22 PM2 trades$6,5811 min
6/30/2026, 2:38:47 PM2 trades$5,9880 min
2/27/2026, 2:35:13 PM2 trades$5,5911 min
6/20/2026, 6:01:47 PM1 trades$5,4730 min
4/22/2026, 8:48:36 PM2 trades$5,4190 min
7/3/2026, 3:46:55 PM2 trades$5,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
03-08
04-25
05-12
06-17
06-23
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 29 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.4 / M10.5 / H76.1