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SmallFishInWhaleStomach

@SmallFishInWhaleStomach

#2,717,55641

0xf67f72df65797a85dc9fd44d57adfe5b7b4a31cf

204d· 153 markets · 3800 tradesVol: $9,246,671 @entropy_1002026-05-15T15:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 85%20/20
Profit Factor 0.88x1/15
HHI 22210/10
Profit Days 77%10/10
DD/Peak 149%0/10

Summary

SmallFishInWhaleStomach is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 3,800 trades executed across 153 markets over 458 days. Despite a high total volume of $9.25 million, their net PnL stands at negative $25,371.58, placing them at rank #2,717,556 globally. Their Smart Score of 41/100 reflects an average overall performance, while their portfolio value shows upward equity growth, currently at $252,728.69.

This trader favors a steady trading style, maintaining a win rate close to 60% and employing strategies like dollar-cost averaging and sniper-like targeting, as indicated by their badges. Their profit factor of 0.06 and a slightly negative Sharpe ratio (-0.06) suggest a low-risk tolerance but also limited profitability. The absence of weather market trades and a balanced sell percentage (43%) imply a focus on diverse but selective markets. Their activity pattern does not indicate prolonged drawdowns, with a max drawdown duration reported as zero days.

SmallFishInWhaleStomach’s strengths lie in consistent trading habits and an upward equity trend, suggesting disciplined portfolio management on Polymarket. However, the negative net PnL and low profit factor highlight potential inefficiencies in capitalizing on winning trades. The average Smart Score and low Bot Score indicate a human-driven approach, which may contribute to steadiness but could also limit rapid adaptation in volatile markets.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 85%
DCA Master
avg 14.1 entries/market
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
Whale
$6,424,431
Consistent
30/39 days
High Roller
$14,027/day

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,542,689$-70,920Vol: $5,045,204
CRYPTO#911$37,636Vol: $1,730,275
🎭 CULTURE#761,266$-489Vol: $1,587,736
📢 MENTIONS#1,248$926Vol: $433,030
📈 ECONOMICS#7,911$166Vol: $166,125
SPORTS#5,891$7,063Vol: $163,180
💰 FINANCE#22,281$53Vol: $17,536

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-25,372
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,246,671
Total Redeem
$2,937,526
Portfolio
$252,729
Predictions
153
total markets
Trades
2164B / 1636S
Daily Volume
$14,027
Account Age
204d
since Oct 28, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-93,510
Vol: $713,671
All Time
$-25,372
Vol: $9,246,671

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
84%
76W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$73,313
Win Rate
60%
89W / 60L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$1,140
Avg Loss
$-28,910

Top Winners

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?$16,307
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$11,505
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?$11,406
ZachXBT investigation post over 14M views on day one?$8,754
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$6,064
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$6,029
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$4,616
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$2,289
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$2,140
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?$2,106

Top Losers

Will the US strike Somalia next?$-150,380
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$-123,424
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ $-123,187
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$-120,214
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$-118,273
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?$-118,221
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?$-109,157
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on $-103,392
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$-78,648
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$-77,965

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.056
Sortino
-0.031
HHI
222
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.072
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
21.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
27.4m
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — typical for humanSize CV 4.30 — diverse, typical for human45% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.00 — human randomness20 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
42 entries
<=2
56 entries
<=5
77 entries
<=10
97 entries
<=20
119 entries
<=50
145 entries
>50
8 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.1%
Mid (20-55c)17.9%
High (>55c)75.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 49.8%

Gaza$710
Taipei$-109,157
Other$-1,524,670

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
90

Single bracket

<=1
67 brackets
<=2
79 brackets
<=3
84 brackets
<=4
84 brackets
<=5
84 brackets
<=8
88 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/29/2025, 1:30:01 AM66 trades$19,61137 min
10/29/2025, 2:12:01 AM54 trades$5,99227 min
10/29/2025, 3:18:33 AM59 trades$2,59022 min
10/29/2025, 3:48:01 AM14 trades$5,5959 min
10/29/2025, 4:42:53 AM5 trades$2,6465 min
10/29/2025, 5:03:41 AM3 trades$7,3513 min
10/30/2025, 3:33:05 AM19 trades$25,28822 min
10/30/2025, 12:24:17 PM9 trades$3,4804 min
10/30/2025, 12:34:35 PM1 trades$1,1200 min
11/1/2025, 11:55:06 PM1 trades$930 min
11/2/2025, 12:01:04 AM1 trades$230 min
11/2/2025, 12:41:28 AM2 trades$1,3514 min
11/2/2025, 1:04:42 AM1 trades$820 min
11/2/2025, 1:20:30 AM1 trades$80 min
11/2/2025, 1:27:50 AM1 trades$730 min
11/22/2025, 1:28:17 AM13 trades$1,6494 min
11/22/2025, 2:43:53 AM1 trades$8,6000 min
11/22/2025, 8:57:35 AM6 trades$4027 min
11/22/2025, 2:44:39 PM3 trades$2,8780 min
11/22/2025, 4:45:39 PM2 trades$8841 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-31
01-23
02-28
03-31
05-01
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event