SnowballHustle

@SnowballHustle

#8,70563

0xe36296a42555b95e95880412387e954d84b0bd00

~235d· 387 markets · 5179 tradesVol: $1,159,4952026-08-02 08:53:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (187/375)9.9/20
1.43x (win $57,165 / loss $39,868)7.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.64815/15
Sortino 2.49310/10
$+0.0320 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 237 (375 markets)10/10
71/141 profitable days (50%)5.1/10
Max DD 54% of peak ($18,377 / $33,765)3.1/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+17,782
DCA Master
Avg 12.9 entries/market
Whale
$540,470 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#6,259$5,053Vol: $513,652
📈 ECONOMICS#1,400$3,334Vol: $237,119
💰 FINANCE#656,255$-3,748Vol: $180,382
💻 TECH#403$4,628Vol: $65,003
📢 MENTIONS#1,129$1,156Vol: $54,474
🎭 CULTURE#1,317$6,150Vol: $43,850
SPORTS#1,815,024$-765Vol: $27,944
CRYPTO#26,846$1,256Vol: $26,953
🌤️ WEATHER#2,292$583Vol: $4,027

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$17,782
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,159,495
Total Redeem
$228
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
387
total markets
Trades
2761B / 2418S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~235d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $0
Week
$514
Vol: $0
Month
$-4
Vol: $0
All Time
$17,782
Vol: $1,159,495

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
187W / 188L events
Realized PnL
$17,782
Win Rate
50%
187W / 188L
Profit Factor
1.43x
Avg Win
$306
Avg Loss
$-225

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,872 (0.9487861237219728% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$7,720
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$4,611
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?$4,541
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3,775
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$2,059
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?$1,954
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$1,714
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1,629
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$1,571
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$1,547

Top Losers

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$-7,599
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-6,122
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-3,996
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$-2,450
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,761
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-1,494
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-1,246
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,246
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?$-1,118
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$-780

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.086
Sortino
0.097
HHI
226
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.5%
Top-5 markets
24.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 80s — normal for humanCV 2.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.95
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.1%
Mid (20-55c)15.7%
High (>55c)72.2%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 2:20:40 PM55 trades$25,94017 min
4/10/2026, 4:45:23 PM62 trades$25,0041 min
4/14/2026, 2:16:15 PM64 trades$24,32311 min
3/31/2026, 5:07:31 PM4 trades$21,1334 min
3/27/2026, 3:07:45 PM14 trades$17,0497 min
3/31/2026, 6:20:25 PM14 trades$16,8222 min
4/10/2026, 5:05:07 PM15 trades$15,5180 min
4/16/2026, 1:04:30 PM33 trades$15,4608 min
4/23/2026, 12:40:26 PM26 trades$13,4174 min
4/25/2026, 6:48:52 PM12 trades$11,9589 min
5/3/2026, 1:44:10 PM15 trades$11,6591 min
3/4/2026, 4:24:27 PM3 trades$11,0111 min
4/30/2026, 4:15:28 AM4 trades$10,9410 min
3/27/2026, 4:21:19 PM8 trades$10,2401 min
3/27/2026, 4:10:25 PM1 trades$10,2400 min
4/1/2026, 10:28:11 PM13 trades$9,7507 min
4/29/2026, 3:13:12 AM3 trades$9,6781 min
5/19/2026, 1:53:11 PM7 trades$9,2511 min
4/30/2026, 5:28:30 PM26 trades$9,2125 min
2/10/2026, 6:08:45 PM14 trades$9,1755 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-22
10-07
01-03
02-27
04-07
05-19
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 52 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.1 / M15.7 / H72.2