@TheGoonKing

#49,10429

0xb781c2900543be41132cebe565a84158f49b9ba9

~137d· 357 markets · 2245 tradesVol: $755,3282026-08-02 08:54:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (195/346)13.2/20
0.61x (win $64,949 / loss $107,254)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0080/15
Sortino -2.1260/10
$-0.1384 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 346 (346 markets)10/10
61/115 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 1034% of peak ($48,760 / $4,717)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+2,155
Whale
$305,597 invested
High Roller
$1,421/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
SPORTS#18,398$2,357Vol: $741,957
💰 FINANCE#633,309$-110Vol: $4,800
🏛️ POLITICS#1,516,156$-99Vol: $725
CRYPTO#1,206,675$-14Vol: $120

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,155
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$755,328
Total Redeem
$10,416
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
357
total markets
Trades
1218B / 1027S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~137d

Periods

#2
Today
$-86
Vol: $2,159
Week
$-247
Vol: $2,159
Month
$-87
Vol: $2,159
All Time
$2,155
Vol: $755,328

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
195W / 151L events
Realized PnL
$2,155
Win Rate
56%
195W / 151L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$333
Avg Loss
$-725

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23,167 (10.75071347363048% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?$10,561
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$7,369
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$5,238
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$3,729
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?$2,280
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$2,110
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1,815
Will France win on 2026-06-22?$1,586
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?$1,376
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$1,199

Top Losers

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?$-25,681
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-21,904
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres$-9,117
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-8,240
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-6,797
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-4,204
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-3,011
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,067
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5$-1,057
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets $-954

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.105
Sortino
-0.079
HHI
325
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.149
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.7%
Top-5 markets
33.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 358s — normal for humanCV 4.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active1.7 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.03
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.6%
Mid (20-55c)15.7%
High (>55c)54.7%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 3:46:40 AM13 trades$19,6293 min
6/20/2026, 9:28:34 PM8 trades$19,4842 min
6/16/2026, 11:53:25 PM2 trades$19,2670 min
6/18/2026, 1:56:13 AM3 trades$17,9000 min
6/24/2026, 4:47:04 AM26 trades$17,6093 min
6/22/2026, 10:01:43 PM7 trades$16,9880 min
6/18/2026, 2:41:49 AM1 trades$15,9310 min
6/21/2026, 11:08:50 PM9 trades$12,3722 min
6/15/2026, 9:51:22 PM22 trades$11,6064 min
6/24/2026, 2:23:40 AM4 trades$11,5764 min
6/21/2026, 3:55:29 PM8 trades$10,6742 min
6/21/2026, 4:21:25 PM5 trades$10,3703 min
6/23/2026, 4:20:58 AM95 trades$10,3177 min
6/16/2026, 12:47:09 AM9 trades$9,6520 min
6/20/2026, 7:22:49 PM2 trades$9,5000 min
6/24/2026, 3:30:59 AM6 trades$9,4620 min
6/26/2026, 6:15:04 AM11 trades$8,4592 min
6/22/2026, 4:28:13 PM2 trades$7,6660 min
6/16/2026, 2:54:54 AM86 trades$6,9986 min
6/22/2026, 12:02:05 AM2 trades$6,3060 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
02-09
03-07
03-31
05-11
06-16
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.6 / M15.7 / H54.7