@TheSwedishWolf
#3,017,888550x0fafcd98288de61a3350b24b8a1ecc1284bdd0d9
~359d· 623 markets · 4363 tradesVol: $1,013,9362026-08-02 09:53:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
41% (253/612)5.7/20
1.28x (win $48,244 / loss $37,716)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.84115/15
Sortino 1.62610/10
$+0.0270 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 128 (612 markets)10/10
127/262 profitable days (48%)4.6/10
Max DD 57% of peak ($9,103 / $16,095)2.7/10
Badges
3Whale
$390,042 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,633,496$-5,420Vol: $813,398
⚽ SPORTS#30,733$1,372Vol: $92,356
🎭 CULTURE#3,371$1,809Vol: $74,902
📈 ECONOMICS#609,926$-13Vol: $13,246
₿ CRYPTO#62,474$216Vol: $5,863
📢 MENTIONS#164,202$-103Vol: $4,013
💰 FINANCE#643,142$-247Vol: $3,552
💻 TECH#253,788$-310Vol: $1,864
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,907
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,013,936
Total Redeem
$9,311
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
623
total markets
Trades
2053B / 2310S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~359d
Periods
#2Today
$-326
Vol: $0
Week
$-222
Vol: $0
Month
$-370
Vol: $625
All Time
$-2,907
Vol: $1,013,936
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
41%
253W / 359L events
Realized PnL
$-2,889
Win Rate
41%
253W / 359L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$191
Avg Loss
$-107
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,005 (4.848053197823347% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$7,725
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$3,358
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?$2,922
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2,597
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$2,018
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1,736
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$1,539
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$1,462
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,126
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$1,027
Top Losers
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-4,881
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$-2,357
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-2,123
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$-1,927
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-1,893
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,307
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-1,224
Will Israel strike Syria on July 17?$-1,142
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$-1,104
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-1,079
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.044
Sortino
0.066
HHI
134
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
18.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.7
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 680s — normal for humanCV 2.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.99
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)22.4%
Mid (20-55c)26%
High (>55c)51.6%
Sessions
#125/1/2026, 5:34:10 AM4 trades$10,9331 min
5/18/2026, 7:02:36 PM21 trades$10,5610 min
4/1/2026, 5:05:13 AM2 trades$8,1020 min
4/1/2026, 3:05:15 AM2 trades$8,0700 min
7/15/2026, 8:54:22 PM24 trades$7,9431 min
5/4/2026, 5:14:40 PM10 trades$7,9100 min
5/21/2026, 6:52:47 AM35 trades$7,9040 min
4/28/2026, 2:31:44 PM6 trades$7,6861 min
6/14/2026, 8:33:22 PM30 trades$6,1844 min
6/15/2026, 8:03:25 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
4/21/2026, 4:59:10 PM2 trades$4,6210 min
5/22/2026, 9:58:41 PM5 trades$4,6125 min
5/8/2026, 2:03:15 AM3 trades$4,6100 min
5/23/2026, 8:32:05 PM11 trades$4,3440 min
7/7/2026, 11:02:23 PM148 trades$4,3261 min
4/25/2026, 6:14:22 PM15 trades$4,3140 min
3/16/2026, 4:52:33 PM5 trades$4,2463 min
4/10/2026, 1:05:25 PM2 trades$4,0790 min
5/7/2026, 8:06:00 AM19 trades$4,0773 min
4/26/2026, 10:52:34 AM12 trades$4,0730 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-26
06-02
08-09
10-09
02-07
05-04
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.99/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.4 / M26 / H51.6