@TulipoII
#3,064,488190x5666ffa1ca295ef3161f950547480a63115ac630
~181d· 171 markets · 5193 tradesVol: $2,229,0292026-08-02 08:51:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (64/153)5.9/20
0.68x (win $132,416 / loss $193,811)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4320/15
Sortino -2.9110/10
$-0.0894 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 150 (153 markets)10/10
41/94 profitable days (44%)3.4/10
Max DD 933% of peak ($81,959 / $8,787)0/10
Badges
6Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
Whale
$686,609 invested
High Roller
$2,601/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,413$-26,439Vol: $2,171,197
💻 TECH#253,898$-324Vol: $33,847
₿ CRYPTO#77,135$139Vol: $14,576
🎭 CULTURE#2,195$3,256Vol: $9,410
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-23,368
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,229,029
Total Redeem
$6,000
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
171
total markets
Trades
3810B / 1383S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~181d
Periods
#2Today
$-2,355
Vol: $0
Week
$-586
Vol: $0
Month
$-2,355
Vol: $0
All Time
$-23,368
Vol: $2,229,029
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
42%
64W / 89L events
Realized PnL
$-23,494
Win Rate
42%
64W / 89L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$2,069
Avg Loss
$-2,202
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $32,340 (1.3765276500834271% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$14,609
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$9,245
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?$8,486
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$8,400
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$7,958
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$7,920
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?$6,896
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?$6,304
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$5,921
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$5,155
Top Losers
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-25,887
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-21,471
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-11,200
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$-10,755
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-10,178
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$-8,730
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-8,479
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$-5,505
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$-4,926
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-4,920
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.127
Sortino
-0.136
HHI
143
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.098
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
17.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
19.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.8m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.1
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 400s — normal for humanCV 3.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — very active0.6 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
29.41
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)25.1%
Mid (20-55c)26%
High (>55c)48.9%
Sessions
#124/7/2026, 11:02:43 PM96 trades$17,1758 min
7/25/2026, 9:04:39 AM141 trades$16,16213 min
5/16/2026, 6:05:39 AM4 trades$14,33511 min
7/19/2026, 3:05:15 AM41 trades$11,3056 min
5/11/2026, 8:02:14 AM33 trades$11,07518 min
7/25/2026, 9:23:46 AM16 trades$9,0583 min
6/24/2026, 12:23:50 AM27 trades$8,8452 min
3/19/2026, 1:21:01 AM11 trades$8,60122 min
6/4/2026, 11:03:01 AM2 trades$8,4283 min
7/3/2026, 8:07:23 AM25 trades$8,3963 min
6/24/2026, 11:11:41 PM1 trades$8,1530 min
4/2/2026, 4:50:47 AM2 trades$8,0000 min
7/15/2026, 1:36:11 AM15 trades$7,8941 min
5/19/2026, 4:30:48 AM14 trades$7,1745 min
3/11/2026, 8:27:31 AM3 trades$6,7207 min
5/10/2026, 1:39:32 PM1 trades$6,7030 min
5/11/2026, 4:03:39 AM6 trades$6,2079 min
2/3/2026, 4:36:20 PM6 trades$6,20313 min
5/11/2026, 5:53:28 AM11 trades$6,1450 min
6/24/2026, 8:18:53 AM2 trades$6,0000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-28
12-31
02-12
03-19
05-11
06-06
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 130 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.1 / M26 / H48.9