US-Phenom

@US-Phenom

#15,69386

0x71878dddb3cfa8744e47dcfa983b62eaac45f08b

~192d· 1192 markets · 14034 tradesVol: $3,613,2922026-08-02 07:17:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (542/1159)8.4/20
3.81x (win $471,081 / loss $123,635)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.95815/15
Sortino 15.56810/10
$+0.5625 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 458 (1159 markets)10/10
76/128 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($29,972 / $377,384)10/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+9,010
Lottery Player
53% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 10.3 entries/market
Whale
$617,628 invested
High Roller
$2,685/day
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,862,012$-2,882Vol: $2,757,365
🏛️ POLITICS#4,077$9,152Vol: $531,027
CRYPTO#24,494$1,493Vol: $204,970
📈 ECONOMICS#3,532$806Vol: $26,142
💰 FINANCE#646,498$-370Vol: $19,071
🌤️ WEATHER#7,421$91Vol: $2,162
🎭 CULTURE#606,882$-3Vol: $35
📢 MENTIONS#42,519$1Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$9,279
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,613,292
Total Redeem
$10
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1192
total markets
Trades
8140B / 5894S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~192d

Periods

#2
Today
$2,427
Vol: $0
Week
$724
Vol: $0
Month
$1,759
Vol: $0
All Time
$9,279
Vol: $3,613,292

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
542W / 617L events
Realized PnL
$9,010
Win Rate
47%
542W / 617L
Profit Factor
3.81x
Avg Win
$869
Avg Loss
$-205

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $357,158 (39.641552197192354% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$292,998
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$33,911
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$30,249
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$24,143
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$18,231
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?$15,363
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$9,384
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$5,684
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic $5,008
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$4,317

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-29,972
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-17,218
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-11,880
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10,429
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-5,244
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-5,118
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-5,068
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-3,658
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-3,355
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?$-2,679

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.102
Sortino
0.548
HHI
453
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.628
Kelly %
25.1%
Half-Kelly
12.6%
Top-1 market
14.5%
Top-5 markets
40.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
61.0
Very active
Markets / Day
5.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.3m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
32.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 72s — normal for humanCV 5.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock61 trades/day — mass trading5.2 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.33
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.4%
Mid (20-55c)28.8%
High (>55c)17.8%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 7:06:01 PM63 trades$46,67910 min
6/24/2026, 12:48:40 PM21 trades$43,2672 min
7/12/2026, 12:07:31 AM191 trades$40,79136 min
7/10/2026, 6:48:58 PM17 trades$27,7080 min
7/11/2026, 8:05:29 PM2 trades$19,8730 min
5/10/2026, 9:34:15 AM20 trades$16,9042 min
7/2/2026, 5:44:16 PM15 trades$13,7894 min
7/7/2026, 2:25:53 PM40 trades$13,4289 min
7/1/2026, 8:46:53 PM12 trades$12,3760 min
6/14/2026, 6:46:45 PM55 trades$12,10112 min
6/16/2026, 10:48:19 PM9 trades$11,05612 min
7/8/2026, 2:29:44 PM26 trades$10,69040 min
6/14/2026, 9:53:57 PM2 trades$10,5600 min
6/16/2026, 7:00:43 PM13 trades$10,3203 min
4/29/2026, 9:28:18 AM24 trades$9,58010 min
6/14/2026, 9:47:49 PM18 trades$9,3180 min
7/7/2026, 5:32:05 PM44 trades$9,28812 min
5/19/2026, 12:01:22 PM13 trades$9,0799 min
7/4/2026, 10:04:37 PM4 trades$8,9700 min
6/1/2026, 8:49:17 PM29 trades$8,6812 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-11
01-14
02-11
03-04
04-14
05-27
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.33/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.4 / M28.8 / H17.8