UnderperformingForALiving

@Underper…ving

#93268

0xdbf16bcffa41bd95faec2640daa2c95ab2bd86b5

~85d· 174 markets · 13398 tradesVol: $40,520,9132026-08-03 00:52:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (78/163)8.9/20
1.52x (win $2,576,227 / loss $1,689,411)9.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.94815/15
Sortino 5.54310/10
$+0.0530 per $1 invested2.7/10
HHI 651 (163 markets)9.2/10
33/58 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($319,596 / $886,816)6.8/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+218,384
DCA Master
Avg 73.4 entries/market
Whale
$16,718,318 invested
High Roller
$111,455/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

8
SPORTS#384$254,012Vol: $22,712,652
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,237$-35,551Vol: $10,584,460
📈 ECONOMICS#386$18,808Vol: $6,042,200
💰 FINANCE#657,628$-14,784Vol: $597,466
🎭 CULTURE#814,523$-3,240Vol: $399,566
CRYPTO#1,609,174$-842Vol: $181,729
💻 TECH#133,941$0Vol: $1,809
🌤️ WEATHER#170,479$-0Vol: $30

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$218,383
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$40,520,913
Total Redeem
$4,351,743
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
174
total markets
Trades
7451B / 5947S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~85d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-3
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$218,383
Vol: $40,520,913

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
78W / 85L events
Realized PnL
$218,384
Win Rate
48%
78W / 85L
Profit Factor
1.52x
Avg Win
$33,029
Avg Loss
$-20,857

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,234,030 (5.650732368046109% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$613,904
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$335,798
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$284,327
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$216,252
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$167,827
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$118,682
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$114,456
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)$94,500
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$81,342
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigers$75,348

Top Losers

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$-335,698
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$-316,755
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-274,727
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-267,864
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$-71,409
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-68,356
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds$-58,733
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$-28,603
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-27,102
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5$-25,746

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.153
Sortino
0.204
HHI
726
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.054
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.2%
Top-5 markets
51%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
89.3
Very active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.4m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
14.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
20 min
Avg Trades / Session
63.8

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 14.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock89 trades/day — mass trading1.2 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
73.38
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.6%
Mid (20-55c)6.3%
High (>55c)88%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 8:45:33 AM7 trades$2,342,6800 min
5/14/2026, 7:06:39 PM46 trades$1,189,3176 min
5/12/2026, 5:12:50 PM25 trades$1,010,6560 min
5/30/2026, 2:18:39 PM471 trades$643,99457 min
3/19/2026, 9:40:43 PM2 trades$595,9812 min
5/27/2026, 5:30:01 PM107 trades$528,60839 min
6/16/2026, 9:35:52 PM1 trades$500,0800 min
6/29/2026, 5:19:53 PM141 trades$464,56957 min
5/29/2026, 5:19:54 PM1 trades$348,0000 min
5/30/2026, 9:11:28 AM130 trades$338,439123 min
3/20/2026, 2:16:13 PM935 trades$324,932194 min
4/11/2026, 9:32:29 AM71 trades$306,2345 min
3/28/2026, 8:57:18 PM1 trades$304,1870 min
2/28/2026, 6:58:19 AM189 trades$288,56310 min
4/28/2026, 1:24:14 PM61 trades$260,93824 min
5/11/2026, 4:31:10 PM41 trades$254,8361 min
2/26/2026, 8:07:04 PM25 trades$249,00922 min
5/29/2026, 5:43:56 PM30 trades$225,1790 min
5/16/2026, 8:39:39 AM5 trades$199,89813 min
5/4/2026, 11:05:20 AM9 trades$192,4001 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
03-23
04-14
04-30
05-11
05-28
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 36 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 73.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.6 / M6.3 / H88