Zaratustra

@Zaratustra

#5,76684

0x7818687f1c2cda416877ab68d18d2c9c25f9d185

~247d· 537 markets · 12292 tradesVol: $8,369,1322026-08-03 03:53:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (241/420)13.7/20
2.08x (win $458,018 / loss $220,479)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.21115/15
Sortino 5.44710/10
$+0.1275 per $1 invested6.4/10
HHI 311 (420 markets)10/10
94/168 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 32% of peak ($75,018 / $237,539)7.7/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+28,869
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 22.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,862,433 invested
High Roller
$1,500/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders

Categories

9
SPORTS#4,361$12,723Vol: $4,913,602
🏛️ POLITICS#2,609$16,009Vol: $2,615,200
📈 ECONOMICS#1,686$2,541Vol: $411,986
CRYPTO#1,653,409$-2,469Vol: $365,732
🎭 CULTURE#812,201$-1,477Vol: $24,759
💻 TECH#254,544$-385Vol: $8,596
📢 MENTIONS#162,083$-87Vol: $2,662
💰 FINANCE#638,716$-159Vol: $1,880
🌤️ WEATHER#285,590$-108Vol: $492

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$28,863
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,369,132
Total Redeem
$4,301
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
537
total markets
Trades
9916B / 2376S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~247d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $268
Week
$-6
Vol: $8,769
Month
$-238
Vol: $17,855
All Time
$28,863
Vol: $8,369,132

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
241W / 179L events
Realized PnL
$28,869
Win Rate
57%
241W / 179L
Profit Factor
2.08x
Avg Win
$1,900
Avg Loss
$-1,274

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $370,712 (12.840976935488229% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$274,512
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$58,110
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$38,090
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latvia$9,661
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$5,334
Seahawks vs. Patriots$4,771
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?$4,216
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$3,366
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$2,811
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2,786

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-30,898
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-28,935
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-24,632
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-18,559
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-17,880
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-15,165
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-14,390
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latvia$-7,100
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-5,839
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-3,180

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.063
Sortino
0.196
HHI
184
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.156
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
22.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.0m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 122s — normal for humanCV 5.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal89% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.45
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.9%
Mid (20-55c)10.9%
High (>55c)57.2%

Sessions

#12
1/4/2026, 8:35:29 PM1 trades$77,0950 min
3/12/2026, 5:17:31 PM1 trades$53,6390 min
6/14/2026, 9:51:58 PM62 trades$27,82550 min
3/16/2026, 3:59:13 PM2 trades$22,4421 min
4/7/2026, 10:56:33 PM6 trades$22,2117 min
1/21/2026, 7:34:54 PM10 trades$21,9600 min
3/16/2026, 12:04:47 AM29 trades$21,70722 min
4/1/2026, 1:54:19 AM3 trades$20,1602 min
12/19/2025, 9:18:48 AM1 trades$19,9030 min
5/9/2026, 6:52:11 PM7 trades$17,6470 min
1/12/2026, 1:01:54 AM1 trades$17,2000 min
6/19/2026, 9:49:17 PM10 trades$16,4607 min
7/2/2026, 2:04:52 AM3 trades$16,1922 min
1/30/2026, 12:22:52 PM3 trades$16,0671 min
1/27/2026, 11:22:49 PM1 trades$15,6320 min
1/12/2026, 7:48:21 PM2 trades$15,2464 min
3/30/2026, 10:45:22 AM1 trades$14,9850 min
2/27/2026, 5:50:16 AM7 trades$13,55613 min
3/4/2026, 6:19:25 PM1 trades$13,4870 min
1/29/2026, 9:23:32 PM5 trades$12,7804 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-16
12-02
02-08
03-23
05-05
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 69 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31.9 / M10.9 / H57.2