@alpaje
#3,068,209100x6a3c02feca0009871db79f9dea6ffd3ab98f2db9
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
8% (24/294)0/20
0.48x (win $44,581 / loss $93,708)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2420/15
Sortino -3.9580/10
$-0.3157 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 341 (294 markets)10/10
17/125 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 3176% of peak ($60,456 / $1,904)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
88% entries < $0.20
Whale
$155,625 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,134$-45,888Vol: $1,293,622
⚽ SPORTS#7,092$6,965Vol: $1,283,834
🎭 CULTURE#815,310$-5,526Vol: $403,803
📈 ECONOMICS#680,124$-2,218Vol: $283,805
₿ CRYPTO#1,606,564$-800Vol: $105,173
📢 MENTIONS#1,646$728Vol: $71,600
💰 FINANCE#655,842$-2,942Vol: $37,851
🌤️ WEATHER#996$1,858Vol: $8,368
💻 TECH#253,301$-270Vol: $1,414
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-49,837
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,548,000
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
296
total markets
Trades
1930B / 3498S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~146d
Periods
#2Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,970
Vol: $0
Month
$-6
Vol: $0
All Time
$-49,837
Vol: $3,548,000
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
8%
24W / 270L events
Realized PnL
$-49,835
Win Rate
8%
24W / 270L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$1,858
Avg Loss
$-366
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23,495 (0.4714654563674851% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$11,228
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$7,523
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$4,744
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?$4,507
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$2,248
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$2,057
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$1,635
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$1,569
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$1,477
Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1,349
Top Losers
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-14,935
US forces enter Iran by March 14?$-6,996
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-5,171
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-3,622
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-3,590
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$-3,255
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$-3,181
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-2,936
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$-2,459
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$-2,235
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.169
Sortino
-0.205
HHI
380
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.318
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.2%
Top-5 markets
36.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
12.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.8
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 98s — normal for humanCV 5.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active0.7 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
18.27
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)88.1%
Mid (20-55c)6.5%
High (>55c)5.4%
Sessions
#127/28/2026, 4:53:34 PM6 trades$70,1332 min
4/5/2026, 10:43:51 AM4 trades$69,7720 min
4/30/2026, 7:07:52 AM10 trades$31,2732 min
5/13/2026, 2:39:14 PM17 trades$28,7370 min
4/10/2026, 6:00:21 PM55 trades$24,9408 min
7/24/2026, 3:56:22 PM19 trades$23,2630 min
4/8/2026, 6:48:03 AM7 trades$21,0240 min
5/27/2026, 1:23:47 AM41 trades$18,4401 min
7/29/2026, 3:18:44 PM8 trades$18,3802 min
4/30/2026, 11:07:30 PM2 trades$15,7030 min
4/6/2026, 7:53:53 PM12 trades$14,2660 min
6/2/2026, 6:40:38 AM2 trades$12,9240 min
4/29/2026, 8:55:18 PM26 trades$11,9070 min
4/4/2026, 7:28:53 PM13 trades$10,8901 min
3/25/2026, 2:46:41 AM5 trades$10,2783 min
5/21/2026, 2:39:32 AM6 trades$9,1570 min
4/1/2026, 8:45:31 AM19 trades$8,9523 min
4/21/2026, 9:29:06 PM5 trades$8,7330 min
4/14/2026, 5:36:40 PM37 trades$8,3280 min
7/6/2026, 2:02:59 AM2 trades$7,8500 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-14
12-16
02-27
04-05
05-12
06-21
07-23
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 252 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.27/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L88.1 / M6.5 / H5.4