@apple-pi

#10,61670

0xaf2383b66194112d57ac196b00ab25f78c17aa95

~163d· 648 markets · 17896 tradesVol: $5,663,9202026-08-02 09:51:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (411/613)18.5/20
1.25x (win $332,321 / loss $264,900)5.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.60515/15
Sortino 2.13210/10
$+0.0266 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 71 (613 markets)10/10
86/124 profitable days (69%)9.8/10
Max DD 75% of peak ($57,651 / $77,128)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+14,292
DCA Master
Avg 28.3 entries/market
Whale
$2,532,703 invested
Consistent
86/124 profitable days
High Roller
$3,908/day
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#2,806$14,484Vol: $4,701,576
📈 ECONOMICS#876$6,470Vol: $315,236
💰 FINANCE#656,993$-8,086Vol: $288,334
📢 MENTIONS#2,012$562Vol: $146,054
🎭 CULTURE#812,394$-1,091Vol: $108,541
💻 TECH#254,422$-389Vol: $40,047
CRYPTO#16,482$2,657Vol: $33,735
🌤️ WEATHER#288,258$-149Vol: $20,535
SPORTS#169,279$48Vol: $5,877

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$14,282
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,663,920
Total Redeem
$28,412
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
648
total markets
Trades
10638B / 7258S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~163d

Periods

#2
Today
$2,050
Vol: $0
Week
$56
Vol: $0
Month
$1,623
Vol: $0
All Time
$14,282
Vol: $5,663,920

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
411W / 202L events
Realized PnL
$14,292
Win Rate
67%
411W / 202L
Profit Factor
1.25x
Avg Win
$809
Avg Loss
$-1,358

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $58,500 (4.093330916998913% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$40,446
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$9,747
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$8,308
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$8,192
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$7,394
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$7,037
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?$7,022
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$6,687
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6,541
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$6,396

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-34,370
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-17,227
Trump wins every swing state?$-11,273
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$-10,273
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$-10,109
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?$-9,822
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-9,354
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-9,158
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$-9,014
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?$-9,010

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.084
Sortino
0.067
HHI
67
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
9.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
17.9m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
18 min
Avg Trades / Session
52.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 2.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock28 trades/day — high frequency1.0 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.28
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.7%
Mid (20-55c)13.9%
High (>55c)75.4%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 4:53:39 PM187 trades$58,472124 min
6/14/2026, 10:22:04 PM92 trades$42,99438 min
6/17/2026, 2:20:31 PM98 trades$36,3759 min
6/11/2026, 9:05:07 PM69 trades$32,29129 min
6/1/2026, 1:55:49 PM38 trades$27,2177 min
6/7/2026, 10:53:13 PM4 trades$25,3490 min
5/6/2026, 9:57:54 AM49 trades$25,2407 min
6/14/2026, 9:13:54 PM126 trades$25,02020 min
6/12/2026, 5:41:49 PM58 trades$24,55448 min
6/7/2026, 7:46:52 PM57 trades$24,03721 min
6/14/2026, 11:05:51 PM79 trades$23,59764 min
5/24/2026, 2:21:02 PM69 trades$22,7598 min
6/13/2026, 4:40:13 PM32 trades$21,55315 min
5/17/2026, 1:22:37 PM14 trades$21,3331 min
2/28/2026, 7:13:17 AM32 trades$21,18818 min
4/25/2026, 8:34:38 PM94 trades$20,75710 min
6/10/2026, 5:57:12 PM66 trades$20,74421 min
6/17/2026, 3:15:38 PM67 trades$20,3113 min
6/8/2026, 10:59:30 AM79 trades$20,30958 min
6/12/2026, 7:41:28 PM73 trades$20,06726 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-23
02-23
03-17
05-03
05-23
06-14
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.28/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.7 / M13.9 / H75.4