@badman

#264,37921

0xe13e5287efb162ef1285dcc5b36fd7674523c564

~58d· 113 markets · 1574 tradesVol: $2,509,5492026-08-02 08:49:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (39/106)3.4/20
1.00x (win $45,414 / loss $45,277)2.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0210.4/15
Sortino 0.0370.4/10
$+0.0010 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 539 (106 markets)9.8/10
18/39 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 182% of peak ($15,770 / $8,683)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+80
Lottery Player
71% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
8% sells
Whale
$140,577 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#3,222$12,217Vol: $2,365,445
SPORTS#1,872,270$-5,987Vol: $96,626
📢 MENTIONS#175,628$-1,781Vol: $14,140
CRYPTO#1,658,000$-3,231Vol: $11,353
📈 ECONOMICS#675,994$-610Vol: $10,000
🎭 CULTURE#801,124$-291Vol: $9,826
💰 FINANCE#642,854$-240Vol: $2,115
💻 TECH#30,045$3Vol: $44

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$80
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,509,549
Total Redeem
$2,222
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
113
total markets
Trades
1452B / 122S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~58d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
39W / 67L events
Realized PnL
$80
Win Rate
37%
39W / 67L
Profit Factor
1x
Avg Win
$1,164
Avg Loss
$-676

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23,949 (299.5448405253283% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$15,544
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$5,072
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$3,333
Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$3,328
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2,968
Will Trump say "Tampon" during Elon interview?$1,978
Justin Fields Week 1 starter for Steelers?$1,840
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)$1,111
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)$1,049
Packers vs. Lions: O/U 48.5$1,005

Top Losers

Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$-4,685
Trump wins every swing state?$-3,550
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-3,423
Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$-2,880
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?$-2,541
Bulls vs. Pacers$-2,225
Will Michelle Obama be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?$-2,000
Spread: Lions (-3.5)$-1,955
Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 242.5$-1,736
Will Kamala Harris say "Ceasefire" during DNC speech?$-1,664

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.001
Sortino
0.002
HHI
376
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.5%
Top-5 markets
34.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.8m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 116s — normal for humanCV 4.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.42
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)70.6%
Mid (20-55c)23.3%
High (>55c)6.1%

Sessions

#12
12/5/2024, 2:35:26 AM2 trades$18,8530 min
7/31/2024, 11:12:34 PM1 trades$15,2440 min
8/17/2024, 10:02:50 PM2 trades$9,8170 min
12/1/2024, 9:17:22 PM1 trades$8,8820 min
7/21/2024, 6:02:10 AM104 trades$7,11157 min
11/29/2025, 11:06:10 PM74 trades$7,09835 min
8/17/2024, 10:30:16 PM2 trades$6,6661 min
7/21/2024, 3:13:02 AM1 trades$5,4000 min
10/20/2024, 10:58:28 AM1 trades$3,5500 min
7/9/2026, 3:41:50 AM16 trades$3,2983 min
11/27/2025, 4:10:09 PM8 trades$3,0197 min
7/21/2024, 5:56:06 AM1 trades$2,9670 min
9/13/2024, 3:29:20 PM4 trades$2,8976 min
10/21/2024, 3:11:36 PM1 trades$2,8630 min
8/10/2024, 3:38:21 AM1 trades$2,6000 min
11/27/2025, 9:17:07 PM13 trades$2,40911 min
8/10/2024, 12:41:00 PM2 trades$2,2881 min
7/28/2024, 3:35:17 PM1 trades$2,1060 min
8/17/2024, 12:52:11 PM1 trades$2,1000 min
7/23/2024, 9:53:01 PM1 trades$2,0140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-22
07-31
08-13
08-20
09-15
10-21
11-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 70 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.42/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L70.6 / M23.3 / H6.1