@bear-bees

79

0x9d5431fa0f9d91b80dca9e5eaa02c609364fc43d

~50d· 45 markets · 743 trades2026-08-02 07:15:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

98% (39/40)20/20
99.00x (win $3,193 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 9.22615/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0110 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 889 (40 markets)8.1/10
27/27 profitable days (100%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($0 / $3,193)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 98%
Profitable
PnL $+2,704
DCA Master
Avg 17.0 entries/market
Whale
$290,217 invested
Consistent
27/27 profitable days
High Roller
$3,023/day
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
Win Streak
33 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,704
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$290,217
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
516B / 227S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
98%
39W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$2,704
Win Rate
98%
39W / 1L
Profit Factor
99x
Avg Win
$82
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,869 (0.6912094334179125% of PnL)

Top Winners

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1,289
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$353
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$227
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$188
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$175
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in May?$169
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$168
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$85
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$83
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$63

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.474
Sortino
inf
HHI
558
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.9%
Top-5 markets
47.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — normal for humanCV 3.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 7:12:37 AM223 trades$31,53561 min
5/10/2026, 7:47:35 PM13 trades$27,6015 min
6/9/2026, 3:20:16 PM16 trades$27,2950 min
6/2/2026, 5:10:08 PM1 trades$23,8530 min
5/23/2026, 2:04:20 AM1 trades$22,8360 min
5/11/2026, 8:01:17 PM7 trades$20,1830 min
5/23/2026, 12:30:01 PM26 trades$15,4926 min
7/26/2026, 12:09:45 PM5 trades$15,4623 min
5/6/2026, 2:40:04 PM18 trades$13,2228 min
4/29/2026, 4:23:58 PM2 trades$11,8180 min
7/20/2026, 8:47:40 PM13 trades$11,7700 min
4/29/2026, 8:45:12 PM2 trades$10,5280 min
5/2/2026, 7:58:22 AM7 trades$9,5000 min
4/30/2026, 8:02:12 PM3 trades$9,3823 min
6/4/2026, 6:45:51 PM14 trades$8,4905 min
5/11/2026, 10:19:23 PM17 trades$8,24119 min
4/29/2026, 5:40:12 PM2 trades$7,1520 min
7/26/2026, 12:45:06 PM5 trades$6,5650 min
5/2/2026, 6:40:56 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
7/31/2026, 9:08:02 PM5 trades$4,8720 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-28
05-04
05-14
05-26
06-01
06-05
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100