budu100

@budu100

#16,95680

0x43b4e4bfbab5ba1b70d2cc223ff6f412572aec9c

~173d· 150 markets · 4941 tradesVol: $2,608,3132026-08-02 07:17:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (76/117)17.5/20
4.83x (win $15,039 / loss $3,111)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.87015/15
Sortino 30.77410/10
$+0.0170 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 1946 (117 markets)2.8/10
32/49 profitable days (65%)8.8/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($1,097 / $12,185)10/10

Badges

11
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Profitable
PnL $+8,387
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 29.3 entries/market
Whale
$702,415 invested
Consistent
32/49 profitable days
High Roller
$1,747/day
Cool Head
Max DD 9%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#3,708$10,302Vol: $1,699,256
SPORTS#1,859,580$-2,564Vol: $787,299
🎭 CULTURE#785,162$-119Vol: $72,668
🌤️ WEATHER#291,968$-263Vol: $17,038
📢 MENTIONS#1,319$949Vol: $16,933
💰 FINANCE#14,766$146Vol: $11,995
CRYPTO#1,198,310$-14Vol: $2,706
📈 ECONOMICS#641,396$-38Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,397
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,608,313
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
150
total markets
Trades
2625B / 2316S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~173d

Periods

#2
Today
$11
Vol: $0
Week
$113
Vol: $0
Month
$-106
Vol: $0
All Time
$8,397
Vol: $2,608,313

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
76W / 41L events
Realized PnL
$8,387
Win Rate
65%
76W / 41L
Profit Factor
4.83x
Avg Win
$198
Avg Loss
$-84

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,172 (0.8551429004091045% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$3,060
Xi Jinping out by June 30?$2,299
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1,812
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$1,498
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1,212
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$860
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$434
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?$336
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19?$334
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?$189

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-729
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-352
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 20?$-301
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-257
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$-244
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 15?$-203
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?$-146
Will Trump visit China by June 30?$-130
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?$-70
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$-61

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.304
Sortino
1.208
HHI
734
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.5%
Top-5 markets
51.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.6m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.2

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 222s — normal for humanCV 5.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active0.4 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.3
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.9%
Mid (20-55c)10.8%
High (>55c)35.3%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 3:22:46 AM93 trades$171,8745 min
7/23/2026, 3:54:25 PM33 trades$54,4021 min
7/3/2026, 5:20:41 PM9 trades$26,1541 min
4/30/2026, 2:00:14 AM4 trades$24,4370 min
5/15/2026, 5:38:17 AM145 trades$24,15226 min
7/1/2026, 12:30:01 PM1 trades$23,1980 min
3/9/2026, 8:16:05 AM7 trades$22,2604 min
5/10/2026, 1:57:45 AM67 trades$17,89820 min
3/9/2026, 9:00:51 AM4 trades$16,4403 min
3/25/2026, 6:35:49 PM16 trades$14,8385 min
10/12/2025, 4:59:18 PM18 trades$13,15631 min
10/10/2025, 11:12:18 AM1 trades$13,0210 min
10/9/2025, 4:22:24 AM2 trades$12,8821 min
9/29/2025, 7:58:27 PM1 trades$12,7450 min
9/23/2025, 2:26:20 AM1 trades$12,6100 min
9/24/2025, 2:19:22 PM1 trades$12,6100 min
9/16/2025, 4:46:34 PM1 trades$12,3410 min
5/8/2026, 1:03:52 AM28 trades$12,1592 min
8/17/2025, 6:51:30 AM1 trades$12,0760 min
7/21/2025, 3:16:19 AM3 trades$11,9451 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-25
10-23
01-14
03-09
03-26
04-30
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 76 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.3/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.9 / M10.8 / H35.3