@cryptohedge

#14,55189

0x578f78e6d312d081f0406150158a0bbe0b6df112

~262d· 1107 markets · 14949 tradesVol: $1,901,9202026-08-02 08:50:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (785/971)20/20
1.93x (win $21,962 / loss $11,394)14.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.96415/15
Sortino 4.59910/10
$+0.0150 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 47 (971 markets)10/10
156/192 profitable days (81%)10/10
Max DD 23% of peak ($2,721 / $11,892)9.4/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+10,063
DCA Master
Avg 12.9 entries/market
Whale
$704,282 invested
Consistent
156/192 profitable days
High Roller
$2,332/day
Cool Head
Max DD 23%
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

8
₿ CRYPTO#5,273$9,519Vol: $1,439,082
💰 FINANCE#1,631$3,102Vol: $262,978
📈 ECONOMICS#7,378$244Vol: $103,491
🏛️ POLITICS#1,555,991$-184Vol: $45,853
⚽ SPORTS#1,859,801$-2,590Vol: $38,456
🎭 CULTURE#717,419$-17Vol: $10,530
💻 TECH#18,045$10Vol: $1,300
🌤️ WEATHER#257,799$-18Vol: $231

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$10,066
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,901,920
Total Redeem
$1,886
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1107
total markets
Trades
6265B / 8684S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~262d

Periods

#2
Today
$8
Vol: $27
Week
$33
Vol: $27
Month
$5
Vol: $1,638
All Time
$10,066
Vol: $1,901,920

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
785W / 186L events
Realized PnL
$10,063
Win Rate
81%
785W / 186L
Profit Factor
1.93x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-74

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,825 (0.3801241594097906% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$2,233
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?$942
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?$650
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$609
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?$513
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$442
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?$440
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$424
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?$412
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?$362

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,008
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 2-8?$-574
Solana Up or Down on February 12?$-549
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-506
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$-506
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 2-8?$-385
Will XRP reach $1.60 in March?$-331
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?$-311
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?$-294
Ethereum Up or Down on February 12?$-288

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.155
Sortino
0.117
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
7.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
49.5
Active
Markets / Day
3.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.5m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
17 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.4

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 290s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock50 trades/day — high frequency3.7 markets/day — normal98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.88
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.9%
Mid (20-55c)15.1%
High (>55c)77%

Sessions

#12
1/1/2026, 5:30:11 AM13 trades$5,7100 min
12/30/2025, 6:43:31 AM39 trades$5,64226 min
3/3/2026, 3:50:25 PM59 trades$4,73521 min
11/25/2025, 1:33:07 PM31 trades$4,42813 min
12/9/2025, 8:57:29 AM26 trades$3,63538 min
12/31/2025, 6:48:37 AM45 trades$3,60938 min
12/31/2025, 5:44:11 AM27 trades$3,53224 min
1/19/2026, 4:26:40 PM40 trades$3,31633 min
11/24/2025, 1:59:39 PM24 trades$3,13210 min
3/11/2026, 1:36:07 PM46 trades$3,11827 min
11/20/2025, 11:08:29 AM10 trades$3,11315 min
1/1/2026, 6:13:05 AM6 trades$3,0972 min
12/28/2025, 11:54:43 AM3 trades$3,0673 min
3/12/2026, 2:00:49 PM17 trades$3,03324 min
12/12/2025, 9:44:01 PM57 trades$2,96660 min
1/30/2026, 2:07:24 PM18 trades$2,92517 min
11/18/2025, 1:01:17 PM33 trades$2,73324 min
1/30/2026, 6:28:26 PM36 trades$2,59923 min
12/11/2025, 9:18:21 PM31 trades$2,59429 min
12/31/2025, 2:27:05 PM21 trades$2,59113 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-06
12-10
01-12
02-13
03-18
04-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 167 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.9 / M15.1 / H77