@destiny

#41,10360

0x93f2e2f8313faae5abd2ff06623ef69917eca879

~60d· 48 markets · 415 tradesVol: $279,8602026-08-02 18:14:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (22/45)9.4/20
1.47x (win $12,556 / loss $8,545)8.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.03815/15
Sortino 3.18810/10
$+0.0352 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 888 (45 markets)8.1/10
14/28 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 59% of peak ($5,669 / $9,680)2.3/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+2,699
DCA Master
Avg 8.8 entries/market
Whale
$113,964 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,622,618$-1,745Vol: $195,054
CRYPTO#10,181$4,716Vol: $71,176
SPORTS#1,659,139$-88Vol: $12,747
📈 ECONOMICS#53,628$6Vol: $300
💰 FINANCE#594,597$-20Vol: $154

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,699
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$279,860
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
306B / 109S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~60d

Periods

#2
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,699
Vol: $279,860

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
22W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$2,699
Win Rate
49%
22W / 23L
Profit Factor
1.47x
Avg Win
$571
Avg Loss
$-475

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,788 (3.25591286307054% of PnL)

Top Winners

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$4,101
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$2,890
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1,797
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$804
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $628
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$541
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$528
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$319
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$266
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$150

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-4,655
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,124
O/U 0.5 Rounds$-661
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$-567
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-415
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-385
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?$-170
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$-118
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?$-108
O/U 2.5 Rounds$-106

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.105
Sortino
0.104
HHI
790
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.036
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.6%
Top-5 markets
53.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 350s — normal for humanCV 2.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.8
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.1%
Mid (20-55c)16.3%
High (>55c)72.5%

Sessions

#12
12/30/2025, 6:24:53 AM1 trades$15,4430 min
2/27/2026, 5:02:20 AM11 trades$12,4108 min
2/23/2026, 12:57:52 PM3 trades$8,6831 min
2/28/2026, 5:33:47 AM3 trades$7,9272 min
1/30/2026, 11:56:10 AM1 trades$6,9350 min
12/19/2025, 7:55:01 AM4 trades$6,4381 min
12/30/2025, 5:24:33 AM1 trades$6,1100 min
2/22/2026, 4:08:58 AM4 trades$6,1032 min
2/25/2026, 6:27:00 AM2 trades$5,7662 min
2/1/2026, 1:14:38 PM1 trades$5,4230 min
2/27/2026, 10:48:09 AM1 trades$5,3180 min
1/5/2026, 1:22:41 AM1 trades$5,0000 min
2/26/2026, 6:40:52 PM1 trades$4,9420 min
2/25/2026, 6:21:10 AM1 trades$4,9300 min
2/27/2026, 4:21:20 AM2 trades$4,4673 min
2/27/2026, 4:40:11 PM1 trades$4,0000 min
2/27/2026, 4:09:44 AM2 trades$3,1041 min
2/22/2026, 5:22:20 AM1 trades$2,9280 min
1/31/2026, 8:34:06 AM4 trades$2,9254 min
12/23/2025, 3:58:43 AM1 trades$2,6390 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-23
12-23
02-01
02-25
05-22
06-14
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 134 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.1 / M16.3 / H72.5