@dreivierteljaeger
370xc2e98eb992cf48744c9761797497fada7b64e288
~152d· 1852 markets · 17592 trades2026-08-02 08:57:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
80% (1461/1832)20/20
0.72x (win $80,363 / loss $111,019)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9890/15
Sortino -2.3120/10
$-0.0193 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 48 (1832 markets)10/10
71/120 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 3562% of peak ($46,144 / $1,295)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 80%
DCA Master
Avg 9.2 entries/market
Whale
$1,589,806 invested
High Roller
$8,502/day
Win Streak
30 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-23,897
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,589,806
Total Redeem
$12,815
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1852
total markets
Trades
14506B / 3086S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~152d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
80%
1461W / 371L events
Realized PnL
$-23,897
Win Rate
80%
1461W / 371L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$55
Avg Loss
$-307
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,184 (0.8027909094370936% of PnL)
Top Winners
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?$7,859
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$6,596
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?$4,729
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$4,435
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$4,008
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2,757
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$1,557
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1,446
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$1,058
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1,009
Top Losers
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-8,506
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$-6,930
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-6,302
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-5,831
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?$-5,141
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-4,554
Iran leadership change by March 31?$-4,281
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$-2,920
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$-2,806
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-2,310
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.104
Sortino
-0.090
HHI
37
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
8.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
94.1
Very active
Markets / Day
9.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
20.7m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
44.6
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 3.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock94 trades/day — mass trading9.9 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.24
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6.6%
Mid (20-55c)2.9%
High (>55c)90.4%
Sessions
#127/18/2026, 11:16:24 PM21 trades$26,0680 min
6/4/2026, 2:04:46 AM126 trades$25,5640 min
3/8/2026, 10:24:43 PM58 trades$15,51245 min
2/19/2026, 2:24:12 PM98 trades$15,17336 min
7/28/2026, 2:39:55 AM48 trades$13,6186 min
2/6/2026, 8:41:53 AM131 trades$13,0984 min
5/21/2026, 4:57:19 AM102 trades$12,6354 min
6/19/2026, 8:37:13 PM55 trades$12,3133 min
6/27/2026, 10:39:44 PM8 trades$12,1301 min
5/5/2026, 6:51:28 AM48 trades$11,49514 min
3/11/2026, 1:29:39 PM73 trades$11,14329 min
6/23/2026, 5:33:49 PM44 trades$10,9487 min
2/5/2026, 5:55:21 PM20 trades$10,8433 min
2/5/2026, 7:40:05 AM52 trades$10,8157 min
6/17/2026, 2:23:52 AM14 trades$10,7266 min
7/12/2026, 8:56:52 PM24 trades$10,6337 min
7/5/2026, 9:44:16 PM31 trades$10,62312 min
2/5/2026, 4:54:27 PM64 trades$10,5552 min
2/5/2026, 3:42:57 PM49 trades$10,4871 min
2/5/2026, 4:23:21 PM45 trades$10,3353 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-27
02-18
03-10
04-01
06-01
06-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 144 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.6 / M2.9 / H90.4