@estuprador
#41,604890x22c2c67ba3d127cfa13bcb7de199d71bff839d56
~87d· 133 markets · 2107 tradesVol: $553,6852026-08-02 09:50:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
89% (108/121)20/20
7.03x (win $2,946 / loss $419)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.25115/15
Sortino 34.93710/10
$+0.0074 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 857 (121 markets)8.2/10
49/56 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($194 / $2,527)10/10
Badges
9Sniper
Win rate 89%
Profitable
PnL $+2,666
DCA Master
Avg 14.8 entries/market
Whale
$341,778 invested
Consistent
49/56 profitable days
High Roller
$2,825/day
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#11,846$1,938Vol: $395,382
🌤️ WEATHER#4,160$260Vol: $67,020
🎭 CULTURE#19,983$108Vol: $27,216
₿ CRYPTO#102,822$86Vol: $19,821
⚽ SPORTS#112,970$115Vol: $3,021
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,656
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$553,685
Total Redeem
$46,365
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
133
total markets
Trades
1281B / 826S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~87d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
89%
108W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$2,666
Win Rate
89%
108W / 13L
Profit Factor
7.03x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-42
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,286 (0.48247341473020877% of PnL)
Top Winners
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$608
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$470
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?$208
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$134
Trump out as President by June 30?$116
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?$99
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$99
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$93
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$90
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?$83
Top Losers
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$-160
Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next video?$-93
Trump out as President by April 30?$-92
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$-42
Will Luis Antonio Revilla win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?$-12
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-11
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$-9
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.376
Sortino
0.903
HHI
413
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
80.6%
Half-Kelly
40.3%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
38%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
17.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.4
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 266s — normal for humanCV 3.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
14.76
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.2%
Mid (20-55c)1%
High (>55c)95.8%
Sessions
#125/10/2026, 2:38:13 PM1 trades$13,9950 min
4/26/2026, 6:59:10 PM10 trades$13,6251 min
4/8/2026, 2:49:05 AM4 trades$11,2831 min
4/11/2026, 10:10:07 PM2 trades$9,8640 min
4/23/2026, 4:11:30 PM1 trades$9,7560 min
4/12/2026, 6:46:23 PM24 trades$9,6227 min
4/23/2026, 1:40:22 PM1 trades$9,0350 min
7/24/2026, 3:59:21 PM2 trades$8,9730 min
6/3/2026, 6:53:37 PM2 trades$8,9000 min
5/10/2026, 12:32:45 PM28 trades$8,3800 min
4/25/2026, 1:10:44 PM23 trades$7,1901 min
4/12/2026, 7:18:03 PM19 trades$6,9385 min
6/20/2026, 1:45:49 PM20 trades$6,6834 min
4/10/2026, 1:05:17 PM7 trades$6,5400 min
5/10/2026, 1:42:06 PM1 trades$6,5310 min
5/10/2026, 1:48:45 PM38 trades$6,53133 min
4/11/2026, 9:33:57 AM6 trades$6,4901 min
4/10/2026, 12:41:51 PM6 trades$6,3218 min
5/8/2026, 12:24:56 PM67 trades$5,9878 min
5/8/2026, 12:38:07 PM5 trades$5,9722 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-29
04-09
04-25
05-07
05-28
06-11
06-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 15 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.76/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.2 / M1 / H95.8