ex1le

@ex1le

#3,043,95640

0xb6bf9ee0da6897d2bbee101df45a2244255fec1a

~93d· 369 markets · 2673 tradesVol: $1,271,4952026-08-02 08:52:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

93% (344/369)20/20
0.20x (win $1,361 / loss $6,854)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7360/15
Sortino -1.7300/10
$-0.0051 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 69 (369 markets)10/10
79/89 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 1020% of peak ($6,518 / $639)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 93%
DCA Master
Avg 7.2 entries/market
Whale
$1,084,268 invested
Consistent
79/89 profitable days
High Roller
$5,532/day
Win Streak
52 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
SPORTS#34,564$1,149Vol: $1,058,174
CRYPTO#120,829$57Vol: $30,447
🏛️ POLITICS#1,634,542$-6,428Vol: $14,225
📈 ECONOMICS#660,989$-111Vol: $2,471

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,872
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,271,495
Total Redeem
$9,559
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
369
total markets
Trades
1712B / 961S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~93d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
93%
344W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-5,872
Win Rate
93%
344W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-361

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $153 (0.02610291988951217% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$57
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$51
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$45
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?$38
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)$28
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?$28
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$23
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$20
Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$19
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$16

Top Losers

US government shutdown Saturday?$-6,428
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-111
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$-82
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)$-56
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner$-50
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev$-49
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-20
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-20
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruud$-13

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.090
Sortino
-0.027
HHI
68
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
4.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
41.2m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — normal for humanCV 2.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active1.9 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.24
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)0.4%
High (>55c)98.6%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 11:08:31 PM859 trades$19,3810 min
5/19/2026, 8:24:45 PM10 trades$14,0170 min
6/24/2026, 11:38:17 PM20 trades$12,8621 min
6/26/2026, 8:26:41 PM5 trades$10,9620 min
1/23/2026, 9:05:38 AM6 trades$10,5881 min
1/22/2026, 4:45:36 AM12 trades$10,5464 min
1/21/2026, 11:35:30 AM19 trades$10,52410 min
1/21/2026, 9:08:30 AM32 trades$10,50919 min
1/23/2026, 5:03:40 AM5 trades$10,4347 min
1/19/2026, 1:47:14 AM25 trades$10,39318 min
2/25/2026, 9:56:34 PM2 trades$10,3471 min
2/24/2026, 9:50:36 PM1 trades$10,3370 min
2/20/2026, 5:54:38 PM17 trades$10,3113 min
1/15/2026, 9:41:56 PM41 trades$10,3054 min
2/14/2026, 2:19:47 PM14 trades$10,2862 min
2/11/2026, 9:23:09 PM36 trades$10,2686 min
1/13/2026, 12:41:45 AM17 trades$10,2638 min
2/9/2026, 9:35:51 PM66 trades$10,25722 min
1/28/2026, 6:47:35 AM3 trades$10,2500 min
1/27/2026, 5:54:15 AM2 trades$10,2300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-25
01-13
01-27
02-22
04-25
06-01
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M0.4 / H98.6