@fool-winner
#2,551,735600x64ff8c3b2d10d0b583d6e2897d7f6a24c16f2008
~152d· 80 markets · 3858 tradesVol: $105,1582026-08-02 08:52:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
87% (67/77)20/20
1.13x (win $228 / loss $202)4.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.5009.4/15
Sortino 0.6316.3/10
$+0.0005 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 450 (77 markets)10/10
36/41 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 263% of peak ($155 / $59)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 87%
DCA Master
Avg 49.9 entries/market
Whale
$55,419 invested
Consistent
36/41 profitable days
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders
Categories
8💰 FINANCE#142,140$1Vol: $51,769
🏛️ POLITICS#1,536,697$-125Vol: $31,769
📈 ECONOMICS#426,521$-0Vol: $9,991
🌤️ WEATHER#58,648$1Vol: $6,903
₿ CRYPTO#172,600$23Vol: $3,351
🎭 CULTURE#497,175$-1Vol: $935
💻 TECH#78,716$0Vol: $253
⚽ SPORTS#409,025$2Vol: $186
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-100
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$105,158
Total Redeem
$131
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
80
total markets
Trades
2065B / 1793S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~152d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $11
All Time
$-100
Vol: $105,158
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
87%
67W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-100
Win Rate
87%
67W / 10L
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-22
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $124 (1.2321428571428572% of PnL)
Top Winners
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$87
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$15
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?$15
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$9
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?$8
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$7
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?$7
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$7
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$6
Top Losers
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-117
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-37
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$-33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-7
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$-6
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.026
Sortino
0.014
HHI
498
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
25.3%
Half-Kelly
12.6%
Top-1 market
12.1%
Top-5 markets
40.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
16.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.1m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 546s — normal for humanCV 1.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active0.3 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
49.87
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.5%
Mid (20-55c)0.6%
High (>55c)98%
Sessions
#126/7/2026, 9:30:43 PM12 trades$49811 min
2/12/2026, 9:42:45 PM12 trades$4809 min
3/20/2026, 9:12:09 AM2 trades$4645 min
2/12/2026, 4:27:09 PM23 trades$43710 min
2/15/2026, 5:10:15 AM11 trades$4339 min
3/29/2026, 5:41:00 AM1 trades$3800 min
3/25/2026, 3:44:39 PM1 trades$3800 min
3/26/2026, 1:47:41 PM1 trades$3800 min
3/17/2026, 5:21:03 AM1 trades$3760 min
3/17/2026, 5:29:37 AM3 trades$3760 min
3/30/2026, 6:59:13 PM6 trades$3740 min
4/4/2026, 12:26:37 AM3 trades$3563 min
1/30/2026, 6:51:38 AM20 trades$31933 min
2/12/2026, 9:58:25 PM10 trades$3156 min
4/30/2026, 7:51:44 PM2 trades$2981 min
3/26/2026, 6:39:13 AM3 trades$2821 min
3/19/2026, 8:01:43 AM4 trades$2821 min
4/17/2026, 8:10:22 PM1 trades$2790 min
4/6/2026, 10:41:09 AM1 trades$2790 min
5/1/2026, 12:38:42 AM2 trades$2770 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-14
01-19
01-30
02-15
03-04
03-31
06-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 49.87/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.5 / M0.6 / H98