@fortuneking

#1,22084

0x86c878cde72660ec52f5e6f0f0438b76de8fc867

~254d· 1630 markets · 7947 tradesVol: $3,571,9782026-08-02 11:49:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (1004/1628)15.8/20
1.50x (win $578,321 / loss $384,422)8.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.19115/15
Sortino 5.97510/10
$+0.1659 per $1 invested8.3/10
HHI 31 (1628 markets)10/10
157/249 profitable days (63%)8.3/10
Max DD 30% of peak ($58,515 / $193,899)8/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+164,340
Whale
$1,169,083 invested
Consistent
157/249 profitable days
High Roller
$2,880/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#569$159,504Vol: $3,368,093
CRYPTO#1,275,691$-22Vol: $15,720
📢 MENTIONS#141,573$-20Vol: $1,182
🏛️ POLITICS#1,346,278$-16Vol: $1,080
🎭 CULTURE#25,544$70Vol: $880
💰 FINANCE#616,352$-48Vol: $590
🌤️ WEATHER#237,257$-7Vol: $81

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$164,725
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,571,978
Total Redeem
$252,484
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1630
total markets
Trades
5777B / 2170S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~254d

Periods

#2
Today
$6,855
Vol: $12,864
Week
$15,611
Vol: $12,864
Month
$5,889
Vol: $22,910
All Time
$164,725
Vol: $3,571,978

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
1004W / 624L events
Realized PnL
$164,340
Win Rate
62%
1004W / 624L
Profit Factor
1.5x
Avg Win
$576
Avg Loss
$-649

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $52,390 (0.3187889113863201% of PnL)

Top Winners

Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 4.5$22,144
Will Union Bordeaux Begles win?$17,393
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Draw at halftime?$12,852
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche$12,809
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$11,668
Montevideo City Torque vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5$11,100
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$10,922
CA Boston River vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5$10,600
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 11.5 Total Corners$10,400
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-11?$9,240

Top Losers

Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings$-25,100
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings$-12,313
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-08?$-12,240
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?$-10,200
Will NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?$-8,160
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad$-7,900
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Riders$-7,709
Will Australia vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$-7,159
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$-7,116
Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)$-6,360

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.167
Sortino
0.217
HHI
31
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.166
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
5.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.6
Active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60s — normal for humanCV 2.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — very active4.0 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.87
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.1%
Mid (20-55c)33.4%
High (>55c)54.5%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 1:10:37 AM14 trades$16,6947 min
4/24/2026, 5:00:00 PM21 trades$15,2071 min
6/21/2026, 4:03:38 PM10 trades$14,9367 min
5/31/2026, 3:03:19 PM2 trades$14,0000 min
5/9/2026, 2:19:06 PM41 trades$13,0005 min
6/18/2026, 7:59:59 PM14 trades$12,2939 min
5/10/2026, 7:05:28 PM2 trades$12,1650 min
4/12/2026, 1:30:17 PM4 trades$12,0004 min
5/2/2026, 7:49:42 PM6 trades$12,0003 min
6/6/2026, 8:31:12 PM6 trades$12,0003 min
7/17/2026, 1:10:46 AM18 trades$11,3576 min
6/22/2026, 9:12:49 PM2 trades$11,2800 min
4/11/2026, 9:06:53 PM4 trades$11,0001 min
5/3/2026, 12:56:18 PM8 trades$10,2003 min
4/8/2026, 12:53:03 AM4 trades$10,0003 min
4/9/2026, 12:45:39 AM4 trades$10,0003 min
6/26/2026, 7:37:53 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
6/20/2026, 8:01:43 PM3 trades$9,8260 min
5/9/2026, 9:56:38 PM2 trades$9,5000 min
4/28/2026, 7:54:04 PM6 trades$9,3227 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-23
12-12
01-26
03-08
04-20
06-06
07-30
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.87/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.1 / M33.4 / H54.5