@geraldhew89
#3,070,261370x2d4c729299e6e261bdf61d859dbe772e00002e02
~243d· 4157 markets · 26780 tradesVol: $8,726,8332026-08-02 09:50:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
72% (3007/4152)20/20
0.61x (win $167,784 / loss $275,148)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6670/15
Sortino -2.6690/10
$-0.0204 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 23 (4152 markets)10/10
139/233 profitable days (60%)7.4/10
Max DD 13746% of peak ($110,308 / $802)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 72%
DCA Master
Avg 6.4 entries/market
Whale
$5,267,795 invested
High Roller
$11,067/day
Win Streak
28 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-113,539
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,726,833
Total Redeem
$27,483
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4157
total markets
Trades
12252B / 14528S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~243d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
72%
3007W / 1145L events
Realized PnL
$-113,539
Win Rate
72%
3007W / 1145L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$56
Avg Loss
$-254
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,121 (0.045100782506106926% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,971
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1,642
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1,507
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1,446
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$1,306
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?$1,247
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$1,127
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?$992
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$-21,593
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?$-17,406
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$-16,891
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?$-10,000
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$-8,406
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$-6,309
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?$-4,281
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$-3,484
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$-3,308
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$-3,220
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.139
Sortino
-0.093
HHI
23
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
4.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
56.3
Very active
Markets / Day
8.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.8m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.1
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 78s — normal for humanCV 2.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock56 trades/day — mass trading8.7 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.45
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)11.7%
Mid (20-55c)11.7%
High (>55c)76.6%
Sessions
#121/16/2026, 4:32:42 PM25 trades$65,05210 min
12/10/2025, 8:21:22 PM10 trades$52,18617 min
12/3/2025, 1:47:09 AM2 trades$50,0004 min
11/28/2025, 11:04:31 AM15 trades$47,15016 min
12/1/2025, 12:45:14 PM23 trades$44,38118 min
12/10/2025, 5:25:15 AM1 trades$44,1580 min
12/19/2025, 12:16:03 AM14 trades$44,04919 min
12/17/2025, 3:30:32 PM26 trades$34,11322 min
1/30/2026, 4:39:14 PM16 trades$32,0138 min
12/9/2025, 3:57:20 PM12 trades$31,17110 min
1/15/2026, 7:31:48 AM11 trades$30,21411 min
12/20/2025, 4:59:06 AM6 trades$30,13411 min
1/13/2026, 6:54:33 AM6 trades$28,64410 min
2/6/2026, 3:23:27 PM56 trades$27,22229 min
12/21/2025, 7:38:02 AM3 trades$26,0002 min
1/16/2026, 4:52:06 PM10 trades$25,6954 min
12/18/2025, 2:05:14 PM4 trades$25,0002 min
1/7/2026, 1:49:05 PM16 trades$25,00013 min
12/23/2025, 4:50:07 PM1 trades$24,6830 min
12/13/2025, 11:26:03 PM9 trades$23,7445 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-20
12-25
02-01
03-13
04-24
06-02
07-14
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 221 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.7 / M11.7 / H76.6