@howstheweather
#3,060,084400x47f73420e75fda5843e825feba5c7829ae110312
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
80% (1517/1907)20/20
0.83x (win $32,068 / loss $38,858)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7380/15
Sortino -0.9700/10
$-0.0079 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 42 (1907 markets)10/10
77/114 profitable days (68%)9.4/10
Max DD 36351% of peak ($21,215 / $58)0/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 80%
DCA Master
Avg 8.6 entries/market
Whale
$858,580 invested
Consistent
77/114 profitable days
High Roller
$6,360/day
Win Streak
28 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders
Categories
8🌤️ WEATHER#298,860$-14,936Vol: $1,714,855
⚽ SPORTS#37,668$1,015Vol: $449,126
🏛️ POLITICS#1,544,128$-144Vol: $70,039
₿ CRYPTO#55,475$281Vol: $41,563
🎭 CULTURE#418,398$-0Vol: $21,784
💰 FINANCE#16,453$120Vol: $14,484
📈 ECONOMICS#501,330$-1Vol: $1,547
💻 TECH#235,985$-22Vol: $686
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-13,753
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,318,798
Total Redeem
$615
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1986
total markets
Trades
13664B / 3472S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~129d
Periods
#2Today
$4
Vol: $6,171
Week
$-16
Vol: $6,171
Month
$11
Vol: $7,408
All Time
$-13,753
Vol: $2,318,798
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
80%
1516W / 391L events
Realized PnL
$-13,753
Win Rate
80%
1516W / 391L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-111
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,208 (1.1785650661797802% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$7,929
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,478
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,801
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,040
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs$764
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$654
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$605
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$447
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?$440
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$402
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-7,848
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on March 30?$-6,373
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,353
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on April 1?$-2,613
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,209
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?$-1,452
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,393
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on March 23?$-1,322
Will Seoul have between 40-45mm of precipitation in March?$-1,050
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-893
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.038
Sortino
-0.032
HHI
41
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
9.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
126.9
Very active
Markets / Day
14.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
14.8m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.3
Bot Detection
#675
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 2.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock127 trades/day — automation15 markets/day — mass coverage84% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 4:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.64
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)23.9%
Mid (20-55c)1.8%
High (>55c)74.3%
Sessions
#126/19/2026, 4:08:29 PM61 trades$7,70027 min
6/6/2026, 7:56:27 AM55 trades$7,07620 min
6/19/2026, 2:38:56 PM55 trades$6,96647 min
6/4/2026, 7:06:33 AM85 trades$6,94023 min
6/14/2026, 2:16:18 PM28 trades$6,87620 min
5/26/2026, 3:40:29 AM1 trades$6,4310 min
5/14/2026, 9:43:11 AM2 trades$6,3200 min
6/19/2026, 2:04:25 PM22 trades$6,0257 min
6/24/2026, 3:35:23 PM34 trades$6,01816 min
6/2/2026, 1:47:52 PM4 trades$5,9780 min
6/8/2026, 7:00:07 PM22 trades$5,6516 min
6/4/2026, 12:25:24 PM82 trades$4,96252 min
3/25/2026, 9:31:43 AM1 trades$4,6910 min
4/2/2026, 8:05:55 PM88 trades$4,6530 min
4/28/2026, 12:58:00 PM4 trades$4,6403 min
6/11/2026, 8:10:36 PM4 trades$4,6118 min
6/4/2026, 9:23:58 PM26 trades$4,60711 min
6/14/2026, 6:25:48 PM30 trades$4,59127 min
6/13/2026, 9:00:19 AM41 trades$4,35523 min
6/14/2026, 10:04:10 PM27 trades$4,3244 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
04-12
05-02
05-23
06-11
06-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 106 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
24% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.9 / M1.8 / H74.3