@jimmythebidder
810x4d4517f51bc23420bcad5fa56f82226bb13997f4
~318d· 579 markets · 3191 trades2026-08-02 09:54:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (245/521)8.5/20
2.40x (win $49,907 / loss $20,794)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.02815/15
Sortino 17.92610/10
$+0.1434 per $1 invested7.2/10
HHI 410 (521 markets)10/10
107/214 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($4,521 / $30,130)10/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+21,443
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.1 entries/market
Whale
$203,031 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$21,443
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$203,031
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
579
total markets
Trades
1827B / 1364S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~318d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
245W / 276L events
Realized PnL
$21,443
Win Rate
47%
245W / 276L
Profit Factor
2.4x
Avg Win
$204
Avg Loss
$-81
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $30,458 (1.420416066437814% of PnL)
Top Winners
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$22,111
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?$4,906
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $3,442
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns$2,470
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31? $2,198
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$2,123
Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale?$1,073
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?$813
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$455
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$443
Top Losers
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$-4,872
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-941
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?$-678
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?$-666
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-634
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?$-556
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-04-07?$-470
Will Solana SIMD-0228 be approved?$-441
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-441
Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?$-399
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.106
Sortino
0.808
HHI
277
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.163
Kelly %
8.9%
Half-Kelly
4.5%
Top-1 market
11.2%
Top-5 markets
30.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 404s — normal for humanCV 2.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.11
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)24.4%
Mid (20-55c)34.3%
High (>55c)41.4%
Sessions
#1210/19/2024, 6:09:15 PM60 trades$25,49434 min
10/20/2024, 9:59:15 AM49 trades$19,67418 min
2/21/2026, 9:39:24 AM1 trades$10,9150 min
4/30/2026, 4:14:12 AM10 trades$10,2961 min
4/30/2026, 12:04:02 PM5 trades$10,0940 min
7/20/2026, 1:59:03 PM139 trades$8,3703 min
3/21/2026, 8:33:41 AM4 trades$8,3182 min
3/19/2026, 7:46:19 AM6 trades$7,9537 min
3/19/2026, 4:31:13 AM4 trades$5,6755 min
3/18/2026, 1:12:45 PM3 trades$4,5604 min
3/17/2026, 12:26:55 AM2 trades$4,5580 min
3/17/2026, 9:26:21 AM2 trades$4,4502 min
2/5/2026, 3:40:45 PM1 trades$4,3330 min
3/19/2026, 6:33:19 PM3 trades$4,0118 min
3/19/2026, 7:15:07 PM2 trades$4,0110 min
3/20/2026, 3:52:37 PM1 trades$3,9900 min
4/30/2026, 12:09:08 PM15 trades$3,9330 min
3/20/2026, 4:37:19 AM2 trades$3,8000 min
3/20/2026, 4:13:39 PM1 trades$3,7800 min
11/12/2025, 6:16:26 PM1 trades$3,6410 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-25
03-04
08-09
11-02
12-11
02-24
06-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 366 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.4 / M34.3 / H41.4