leleko2k

@leleko2k

#3,067,60340

0x0c553757831b5ea0fb8b45f95a44e16ceeb29e26

~195d· 391 markets · 2508 tradesVol: $1,791,207 @leleko2k2026-08-02 09:51:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (342/382)20/20
0.50x (win $48,810 / loss $98,005)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4820/15
Sortino -1.5910/10
$-0.0472 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 64 (382 markets)10/10
153/173 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 365% of peak ($69,182 / $18,946)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 90%
DCA Master
Avg 6.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,042,416 invested
Consistent
153/173 profitable days
High Roller
$3,498/day
Win Streak
33 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,673,261$-40,567Vol: $1,726,120
🏛️ POLITICS#20,352$814Vol: $32,572
🎭 CULTURE#810,508$-812Vol: $17,264
🌤️ WEATHER#295,992$-723Vol: $9,805
💰 FINANCE#10,648$253Vol: $4,327
SPORTS#206,504$28Vol: $1,028

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-41,006
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,791,207
Total Redeem
$138,765
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
391
total markets
Trades
1476B / 1032S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~195d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$57
Vol: $0
Month
$19
Vol: $20,347
All Time
$-41,006
Vol: $1,791,207

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
342W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-41,006
Win Rate
90%
342W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$143
Avg Loss
$-2,513

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,224 (0.493186319134517% of PnL)

Top Winners

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$17,616
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1,637
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?$971
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$857
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?$798
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 13?$669
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?$665
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?$658
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 17-23?$650
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?$628

Top Losers

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-40,369
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?$-12,992
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?$-8,602
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-6,120
Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$-4,770
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?$-4,001
Will Base launch a token in 2025?$-3,000
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$-2,041
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?$-2,009
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 13?$-2,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.077
Sortino
-0.031
HHI
64
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.048
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
10.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1066s — normal for humanCV 1.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.41
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10%
Mid (20-55c)4.7%
High (>55c)85.3%

Sessions

#12
10/29/2025, 5:06:17 AM1 trades$19,9970 min
2/3/2026, 11:10:24 PM2 trades$17,3581 min
11/25/2025, 6:29:13 AM2 trades$10,0452 min
10/29/2025, 2:32:41 PM1 trades$9,9920 min
11/20/2025, 3:17:57 PM1 trades$9,9890 min
2/22/2026, 8:50:14 PM6 trades$9,8384 min
2/8/2026, 8:04:05 PM1 trades$9,7720 min
2/15/2026, 9:32:03 PM1 trades$9,1090 min
2/6/2026, 12:48:17 AM2 trades$8,7423 min
6/1/2026, 5:52:40 PM2 trades$8,3520 min
1/29/2026, 5:00:30 AM2 trades$7,9852 min
1/31/2026, 11:24:46 PM1 trades$7,9100 min
1/31/2026, 7:43:34 PM1 trades$7,8680 min
2/8/2026, 6:49:13 AM1 trades$7,7550 min
2/6/2026, 1:12:31 PM4 trades$7,7294 min
6/14/2026, 11:27:36 PM12 trades$7,5010 min
3/6/2026, 10:28:15 AM1 trades$7,4630 min
5/14/2026, 6:09:18 AM32 trades$7,3827 min
7/1/2026, 7:08:37 AM13 trades$7,1243 min
3/3/2026, 7:08:07 PM4 trades$6,4033 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-14
01-08
02-10
03-11
04-27
06-09
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 235 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10 / M4.7 / H85.3