@machiavelia
#2,216800x48ecc049f171a8c7758e5d351e5f6c3c6df58f36
~181d· 869 markets · 2929 tradesVol: $1,370,4722026-08-03 00:53:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
51% (440/855)10.7/20
1.43x (win $170,750 / loss $119,121)7.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.50315/15
Sortino 6.44710/10
$+0.2452 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 49 (855 markets)10/10
101/177 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 22% of peak ($14,269 / $65,898)9.7/10
Badges
8Profitable
PnL $+86,045
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
2% sells
Whale
$210,569 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 22%
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders
Categories
9⚽ SPORTS#1,765$36,095Vol: $613,314
₿ CRYPTO#24,923$1,451Vol: $248,209
🏛️ POLITICS#1,791$26,035Vol: $169,243
💰 FINANCE#785$6,959Vol: $66,951
🎭 CULTURE#815,789$-6,875Vol: $50,379
🌤️ WEATHER#643$3,071Vol: $43,687
📈 ECONOMICS#1,183$4,253Vol: $12,272
💻 TECH#245,610$-67Vol: $5,985
📢 MENTIONS#1,519$802Vol: $5,403
Overview
#1Net PnL
$86,054
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,370,472
Total Redeem
$57,043
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
869
total markets
Trades
2878B / 51S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~181d
Periods
#2Today
$-4
Vol: $0
Week
$-98
Vol: $0
Month
$-6
Vol: $0
All Time
$86,054
Vol: $1,370,472
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
51%
440W / 415L events
Realized PnL
$86,045
Win Rate
51%
440W / 415L
Profit Factor
1.43x
Avg Win
$388
Avg Loss
$-287
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,047 (0.23298555213045527% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will MFK Skalica win on 2026-05-02?$8,921
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7,728
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on March 2?$3,398
Inter Miami CF leading at halftime?$2,350
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A$2,230
Will Jake Paul win by KO/TKO/DQ?$1,942
Will Russia enter Khatnie by February 28, 2026?$1,711
Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 2 Austria?$1,605
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner$1,485
US strike on Mexico by January 31?$1,468
Top Losers
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$-9,138
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?$-1,199
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.183
Sortino
0.271
HHI
30
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.250
Kelly %
25.7%
Half-Kelly
12.9%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
5.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
13.1
Active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 2.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active3.9 markets/day — normal98% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.4
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)31.3%
Mid (20-55c)68.6%
High (>55c)0.1%
Sessions
#127/16/2026, 6:28:35 PM9 trades$7,5740 min
2/9/2026, 4:37:11 PM2 trades$3,6540 min
3/23/2026, 11:06:57 AM5 trades$3,47111 min
2/9/2026, 10:05:27 AM5 trades$3,2986 min
5/26/2026, 2:43:48 PM7 trades$2,9980 min
1/30/2026, 6:21:48 PM2 trades$2,3801 min
7/17/2026, 3:06:01 PM1 trades$2,3500 min
6/28/2026, 3:55:01 AM34 trades$1,8972 min
6/11/2026, 5:48:15 PM4 trades$1,7991 min
6/5/2026, 6:14:24 PM3 trades$1,7992 min
7/19/2026, 10:33:10 PM8 trades$1,7993 min
4/1/2026, 3:07:03 PM3 trades$1,5992 min
1/14/2026, 7:14:08 AM1 trades$1,5360 min
1/10/2026, 7:30:46 PM1 trades$1,4230 min
7/17/2026, 7:58:33 PM4 trades$1,3482 min
6/25/2026, 1:45:59 PM11 trades$1,3471 min
12/30/2025, 3:30:35 PM4 trades$1,2000 min
6/13/2026, 9:01:06 PM16 trades$1,2000 min
5/16/2026, 2:21:10 PM2 trades$1,2000 min
6/18/2026, 3:42:22 AM6 trades$1,1994 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-13
01-30
03-16
04-19
05-20
06-18
07-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.4/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L31.3 / M68.6 / H0.1