@mm4ker

#3,12196

0x8c57f67ac7cc69a4cf96be5747cb2ed63dc9f939

~142d· 339 markets · 6154 tradesVol: $2,562,5922026-08-03 03:53:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (221/314)20/20
1.97x (win $313,245 / loss $158,616)14.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.10315/15
Sortino 8.67210/10
$+0.1382 per $1 invested6.9/10
HHI 165 (314 markets)10/10
78/113 profitable days (69%)9.8/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($34,503 / $188,990)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+57,682
DCA Master
Avg 18.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,118,632 invested
Consistent
78/113 profitable days
High Roller
$5,511/day
Cool Head
Max DD 18%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,053$47,447Vol: $1,587,979
SPORTS#1,879,625$-20,321Vol: $580,213
📈 ECONOMICS#1,552$2,884Vol: $140,639
CRYPTO#1,794$24,114Vol: $133,260
💰 FINANCE#1,740$2,914Vol: $65,726
🎭 CULTURE#3,044$2,063Vol: $20,048
💻 TECH#257,228$-1,490Vol: $14,487
📢 MENTIONS#174,087$-715Vol: $2,169

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$57,725
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,562,592
Total Redeem
$30,137
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
339
total markets
Trades
2609B / 3545S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~142d

Periods

#2
Today
$-23
Vol: $0
Week
$-23
Vol: $0
Month
$563
Vol: $2,633
All Time
$57,725
Vol: $2,562,592

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
221W / 93L events
Realized PnL
$57,682
Win Rate
70%
221W / 93L
Profit Factor
1.97x
Avg Win
$1,417
Avg Loss
$-1,782

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $109,698 (1.901761835094787% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$50,366
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$31,661
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$27,671
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$13,109
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$10,050
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$8,656
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$4,275
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$4,229
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$4,161
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$3,753

Top Losers

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-26,524
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$-13,808
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-8,159
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-7,972
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-7,735
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$-6,050
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-6,032
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-5,137
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-5,015
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-03?$-4,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.162
Sortino
0.302
HHI
137
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.145
Kelly %
4.5%
Half-Kelly
2.2%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
17.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 238s — normal for humanCV 3.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock30 trades/day — high frequency1.7 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.4
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.9%
Mid (20-55c)20.9%
High (>55c)65.2%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 9:55:52 PM1 trades$47,5460 min
4/6/2026, 6:03:43 PM4 trades$42,1501 min
6/1/2026, 1:07:15 PM44 trades$29,66311 min
4/5/2026, 12:55:05 PM12 trades$27,5016 min
5/9/2026, 9:52:19 AM42 trades$27,2786 min
6/20/2026, 1:30:35 PM4 trades$25,3851 min
5/18/2026, 2:45:28 PM17 trades$24,0273 min
1/23/2026, 7:48:46 PM5 trades$23,3057 min
5/23/2026, 7:17:48 PM41 trades$23,0434 min
5/4/2026, 11:28:54 AM4 trades$22,0021 min
6/16/2026, 2:57:50 PM15 trades$21,81110 min
1/17/2026, 10:40:56 AM1 trades$19,9690 min
7/14/2026, 7:39:59 PM42 trades$18,6082 min
4/7/2026, 9:58:39 PM12 trades$17,9996 min
7/12/2026, 3:20:47 AM33 trades$16,7563 min
6/17/2026, 8:52:05 PM29 trades$16,68610 min
4/23/2026, 7:11:28 PM39 trades$16,06020 min
6/23/2026, 10:31:01 PM13 trades$16,0359 min
5/9/2026, 1:54:24 PM2 trades$15,5600 min
6/4/2026, 2:28:45 PM50 trades$15,1358 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-11
02-01
04-01
04-27
05-20
06-12
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 25 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.9 / M20.9 / H65.2