@mx156
100x8a1e1e8fec1fb91f12ba3b8ebec52d2eda21bd03
~129d· 295 markets · 3206 trades2026-08-02 08:50:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
19% (53/282)0/20
0.39x (win $17,158 / loss $44,363)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7910/15
Sortino -4.9200/10
$-0.2909 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 376 (282 markets)10/10
23/99 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 54893% of peak ($27,255 / $50)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
62% entries < $0.20
Whale
$93,529 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,041
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$93,529
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
295
total markets
Trades
1178B / 2028S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~129d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
19%
53W / 229L events
Realized PnL
$-2,041
Win Rate
19%
53W / 229L
Profit Factor
0.39x
Avg Win
$324
Avg Loss
$-254
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,870 (2.875938228780842% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2,656
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$2,018
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1,196
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?$708
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$688
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$661
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$659
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$651
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$614
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$590
Top Losers
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-7,184
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-2,506
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-2,253
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-2,026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-1,924
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-1,483
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?$-1,471
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-1,379
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$-1,290
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$-1,273
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.249
Sortino
-0.238
HHI
282
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.305
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.5%
Top-5 markets
31.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
54s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.9
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 54s — normal for humanCV 2.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.46
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)61.6%
Mid (20-55c)13.4%
High (>55c)25%
Sessions
#125/11/2026, 8:53:40 AM35 trades$30,9564 min
4/29/2026, 1:30:16 PM9 trades$25,8931 min
5/12/2026, 5:54:59 PM7 trades$25,4320 min
5/26/2026, 7:08:20 PM20 trades$18,5331 min
5/10/2026, 8:29:25 PM21 trades$13,6721 min
6/3/2026, 3:58:16 PM2 trades$12,5000 min
6/11/2026, 5:54:28 PM127 trades$11,0176 min
5/31/2026, 2:03:37 PM35 trades$8,51010 min
4/28/2026, 6:30:12 PM4 trades$7,7161 min
6/21/2026, 1:50:40 PM10 trades$7,4321 min
4/12/2026, 12:14:29 PM77 trades$7,1982 min
5/28/2026, 5:14:10 PM26 trades$6,8481 min
6/21/2026, 4:28:07 PM28 trades$6,1417 min
7/25/2026, 6:32:34 PM10 trades$6,1181 min
8/1/2026, 10:02:44 PM10 trades$5,9961 min
4/12/2026, 12:00:47 PM6 trades$5,6380 min
6/8/2026, 8:43:27 AM27 trades$5,2634 min
7/16/2026, 9:45:10 AM8 trades$5,0580 min
8/1/2026, 10:11:23 PM18 trades$5,0323 min
6/2/2026, 7:36:30 PM3 trades$5,0000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
02-03
03-23
04-27
05-21
06-17
07-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 402 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.46/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.6 / M13.4 / H25