Polydata

@opopv

#4,46473

0x116db6298abcdefe06f9f5458c293c7de185fbf1

71d· 1774 markets · 5327 tradesVol: $3,053,0242026-06-16T12:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 90%20/20
Profit Factor 0.05x0/15
Sharpe 0.70413/15
Sortino 11.16410/10
HHI 7110/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Opopv is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #4464 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $33,817.98. Over 69 days, they have executed 5,327 trades across 515 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $3 million. Their portfolio value stands at $9,489.88, and they maintain a smart score of 73/100, indicating strong overall performance.

The trader specializes exclusively in weather-related markets, as indicated by a 100% focus in this category. Opopv exhibits a balanced risk profile with a Sharpe ratio of 0.70 and a win rate of 71.6%, suggesting consistent profitability. Their trading style combines manual and semi-automated approaches, reflected in a bot score of 65/100. Notably, the sell percentage is 38%, which implies a strategy that involves holding positions for meaningful durations rather than frequent exits.

Opopv’s strengths lie in their high win rate and stability, supported by badges like Sniper and DCA Master that highlight precision and disciplined averaging. The flat equity trend and zero-day max drawdown duration demonstrate effective risk management. However, a profit factor of 0.05 appears unusually low and may warrant further scrutiny to understand the underlying trade outcomes. Overall, opopv presents as a proficient trader with a focused niche on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+33,818
DCA Master
avg 6.4 entries/market
Weather Pro
100% weather
Win Streak
118 wins in a row
Whale
$874,008
Consistent
63/66 days
High Roller
$12,667/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#31$33,818Vol: $3,053,024

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$33,818
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,053,024
Total Redeem
$176,865
Portfolio
$9,490
Predictions
1774
total markets
Trades
3304B / 2023S
Daily Volume
$12,667
Account Age
71d
since Apr 7, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$88
Vol: $11,256
Week
$254
Vol: $41,821
Month
$12,060
Vol: $450,245
All Time
$33,818
Vol: $3,053,024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
90%
170W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$43,787
Win Rate
72%
336W / 133L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$63
Avg Loss
$-2,988

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?$2,393
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?$2,096
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?$1,256
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?$1,083
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 7?$1,081
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?$1,075
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 25?$843
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?$692
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 2?$508
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 11?$473

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?$-29,270
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 22?$-16,421
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on April 19?$-11,169
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 23?$-10,637
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 15?$-10,515
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 20?$-10,087
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 6?$-8,411
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 16?$-8,198
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 28?$-8,110
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?$-8,010

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.704
Sortino
11.164
HHI
71
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.449
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
10.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
78.2
Very active
Markets / Day
7.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
19.7m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 26s — typical for humanSize CV 3.11 — diverse, typical for human32% at night — bot never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.19 — human randomness78 trades/day — mass trading304 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.4
Active DCA
<=1
141 entries
<=2
196 entries
<=5
322 entries
<=10
416 entries
<=20
493 entries
<=50
513 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.7%
Mid (20-55c)4%
High (>55c)93.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 43%

Chongqing$-1,148
Guangzhou$-3,240
Qingdao$-11,550
Shenzhen$-16,336
Hong Kong$-19,697
Chengdu$-20,014
Wuhan$-27,636
Shanghai$-46,055
Beijing$-47,825
Seoul$-67,089
Taipei$-115,588

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.9
Events covered
268

Single bracket

<=1
126 brackets
<=2
205 brackets
<=3
242 brackets
<=4
256 brackets
<=5
264 brackets
<=8
268 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 5:32:49 AM2 trades$700 min
4/9/2026, 6:32:27 AM9 trades$4,5161 min
4/9/2026, 6:40:17 AM1 trades$20 min
4/9/2026, 7:21:25 AM4 trades$411 min
4/9/2026, 7:44:01 AM4 trades$514 min
4/9/2026, 8:24:47 AM1 trades$80 min
4/10/2026, 5:44:13 AM5 trades$1690 min
4/10/2026, 5:54:07 AM13 trades$4297 min
4/10/2026, 6:09:11 AM2 trades$252 min
4/10/2026, 6:21:53 AM2 trades$475 min
4/10/2026, 6:37:43 AM1 trades$120 min
4/10/2026, 6:54:01 AM1 trades$1720 min
4/10/2026, 7:19:15 AM2 trades$100 min
4/10/2026, 7:58:57 AM7 trades$1,2523 min
4/10/2026, 8:15:53 AM27 trades$45012 min
4/10/2026, 8:55:23 AM1 trades$120 min
4/10/2026, 9:04:47 AM2 trades$2001 min
4/10/2026, 9:18:43 AM1 trades$30 min
4/11/2026, 6:47:49 AM1 trades$3340 min
4/11/2026, 6:57:51 AM4 trades$4852 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-08
04-19
04-30
05-11
05-24
06-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.9 br/event