@punter78

#3,071,13926

0x9f0cc3ffd74a5892eb9b386edf6d706c445f7ca5

~24d· 65 markets · 3927 tradesVol: $4,671,2472026-08-02 07:15:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (38/65)14.2/20
0.71x (win $875,016 / loss $1,227,634)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5640/15
Sortino -3.8780/10
$-0.1678 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 762 (65 markets)8.7/10
10/23 profitable days (43%)3.4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($545,337 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 60.4 entries/market
Whale
$2,101,650 invested
High Roller
$3,503/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,882,441$-420,800Vol: $4,262,079
CRYPTO#17,255$2,510Vol: $218,108
🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,061$-62,274Vol: $186,370
📈 ECONOMICS#14,110$80Vol: $4,690

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-480,484
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,671,247
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
1670B / 2257S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
38W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$-480,484
Win Rate
58%
38W / 27L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$23,027
Avg Loss
$-45,468

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $629,843 (1.3108511296809555% of PnL)

Top Winners

Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5$287,801
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5$259,232
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$82,810
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?$48,621
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$47,319
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5$18,761
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5$18,075
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5$16,768
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5$14,553
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5$12,471

Top Losers

DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5$-223,999
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5$-219,680
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$-180,980
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$-124,031
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5$-73,690
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5$-53,453
Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5$-47,484
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5$-47,476
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5$-47,028
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5$-41,687

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.131
Sortino
-0.199
HHI
654
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.168
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.4%
Top-5 markets
46%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
5s
between trades
Avg Gap
17.5m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
60.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
63% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 4.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
60.42
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.2%
Mid (20-55c)13.7%
High (>55c)76.2%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 11:11:37 PM66 trades$389,8725 min
6/27/2026, 11:33:35 PM138 trades$215,4294 min
6/23/2026, 11:57:22 PM109 trades$172,34415 min
6/26/2026, 7:37:44 PM36 trades$163,3633 min
6/27/2026, 10:35:29 PM345 trades$141,11617 min
6/22/2026, 5:53:19 PM30 trades$138,3601 min
6/27/2026, 9:25:29 PM96 trades$136,2163 min
6/25/2026, 7:31:59 PM195 trades$135,49822 min
6/5/2026, 6:48:04 PM127 trades$113,57120 min
6/24/2026, 10:03:22 PM37 trades$100,5821 min
6/24/2026, 7:09:56 PM36 trades$94,0033 min
6/26/2026, 11:54:01 PM60 trades$92,5520 min
6/24/2026, 10:12:32 PM99 trades$90,1906 min
6/18/2026, 10:36:50 PM66 trades$74,3447 min
11/5/2024, 2:30:59 PM23 trades$66,49318 min
6/24/2026, 11:45:37 PM70 trades$47,9009 min
6/5/2026, 7:28:22 PM18 trades$44,0721 min
6/10/2026, 11:42:15 PM38 trades$42,1224 min
6/27/2026, 12:00:37 AM13 trades$40,8990 min
6/6/2026, 10:08:36 PM30 trades$39,1443 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
05-23
06-06
06-13
06-16
06-20
06-23
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 60.42/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.2 / M13.7 / H76.2