@rdba

#43176

0xc4d1a863e9cc45d02ba22d3a1ae9ba7822018ce8

~179d· 257 markets · 8995 tradesVol: $46,367,6262026-08-02 01:32:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (168/225)20/20
1.65x (win $832,982 / loss $505,402)10.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.97315/15
Sortino 4.10010/10
$+0.0099 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 573 (225 markets)9.6/10
76/104 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 74% of peak ($242,046 / $327,580)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 75%
Profitable
PnL $+469,371
DCA Master
Avg 38.1 entries/market
Whale
$33,170,701 invested
Consistent
76/104 profitable days
High Roller
$80,904/day
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#74$569,427Vol: $26,312,208
🎭 CULTURE#70$86,079Vol: $11,343,130
CRYPTO#1,672,593$-34,606Vol: $3,808,846
📈 ECONOMICS#800$7,171Vol: $1,988,345
SPORTS#1,884,037$-187,206Vol: $1,442,083
💻 TECH#223$8,903Vol: $754,242
📢 MENTIONS#116$17,301Vol: $475,904
💰 FINANCE#497$10,839Vol: $20,452

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$473,802
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$46,367,626
Total Redeem
$3,703,252
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
257
total markets
Trades
6655B / 2340S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~179d

Periods

#2
Today
$4,373
Vol: $0
Week
$-3,018
Vol: $0
Month
$809
Vol: $150,000
All Time
$473,802
Vol: $46,367,626

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
168W / 57L events
Realized PnL
$469,371
Win Rate
75%
168W / 57L
Profit Factor
1.65x
Avg Win
$4,958
Avg Loss
$-9,359

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $137,617 (0.29319503239486816% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?$47,266
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$46,352
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$44,000
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$33,291
Athletics vs. Rays$31,500
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$30,780
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$28,649
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$22,815
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$22,555
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$21,414

Top Losers

Reds vs. Phillies$-100,406
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4PM ET$-58,915
Angels vs. Braves$-38,158
Angels vs. Braves$-32,293
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-29,942
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$-29,388
Yankees vs. Blue Jays$-27,478
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-25,119
Astros vs. Rockies$-21,000
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs$-18,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.155
Sortino
0.128
HHI
541
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.1%
Top-5 markets
45.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.0m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
20 min
Avg Trades / Session
71.2

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — normal for humanCV 8.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency0.6 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
38.09
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4%
Mid (20-55c)6.7%
High (>55c)89.2%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 1:29:47 PM22 trades$3,590,3271 min
6/3/2026, 11:38:48 PM78 trades$1,495,50013 min
3/3/2026, 7:34:21 PM29 trades$999,0008 min
6/2/2026, 10:24:42 PM55 trades$988,5009 min
3/1/2026, 6:12:01 PM25 trades$972,23613 min
4/8/2026, 10:49:49 PM63 trades$943,65440 min
3/2/2026, 11:22:59 AM123 trades$800,142134 min
1/2/2026, 7:56:01 AM11 trades$798,4006 min
1/31/2026, 9:03:16 AM181 trades$722,44731 min
2/28/2026, 7:36:33 PM345 trades$663,43622 min
4/8/2026, 7:49:19 AM198 trades$647,96481 min
4/12/2026, 7:49:39 PM31 trades$587,76011 min
3/2/2026, 10:43:41 AM16 trades$576,88113 min
12/4/2025, 5:43:49 AM33 trades$563,20015 min
3/30/2026, 7:03:40 AM4 trades$542,3312 min
11/5/2025, 2:04:51 AM33 trades$505,98817 min
6/2/2026, 12:01:42 PM1 trades$495,0000 min
3/2/2026, 2:18:43 PM90 trades$475,38873 min
6/4/2026, 12:27:57 AM77 trades$451,8457 min
3/25/2026, 12:00:29 AM93 trades$450,80181 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
07-24
09-25
11-21
12-19
03-17
06-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 38.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4 / M6.7 / H89.2