@rolser

#3,063,53825

0x2778680e7c3e30508cd46c9c662ecabde6ca8547

~305d· 2927 markets · 11290 tradesVol: $7,217,4642026-08-02 08:49:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (1162/2922)4.9/20
1.04x (win $108,304 / loss $104,460)3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1572.9/15
Sortino 0.3673.7/10
$+0.0108 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 290 (2922 markets)10/10
52/185 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 144% of peak ($25,488 / $17,662)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
74% entries < $0.55
Whale
$355,299 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,198$-9,155Vol: $4,421,872
🎭 CULTURE#816,815$-4,376Vol: $1,725,441
⚽ SPORTS#1,875,392$-9,355Vol: $746,980
📈 ECONOMICS#661,720$-117Vol: $93,132
₿ CRYPTO#1,653,679$-2,569Vol: $30,277
📢 MENTIONS#175,647$-1,819Vol: $10,736
💻 TECH#223,949$-9Vol: $543
💰 FINANCE#577,454$-11Vol: $438
🌤️ WEATHER#244,893$-10Vol: $122

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-20,502
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,217,464
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2927
total markets
Trades
8687B / 2603S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~305d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-172
Vol: $0
Month
$-115
Vol: $8,978
All Time
$-20,502
Vol: $7,217,464

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
1162W / 1760L events
Realized PnL
$-20,503
Win Rate
40%
1162W / 1760L
Profit Factor
1.04x
Avg Win
$93
Avg Loss
$-60

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $48,687 (2.3746897331107264% of PnL)

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner$20,150
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$15,184
US military action against Iran by Saturday?$13,354
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$9,346
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$4,678
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$3,648
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$3,076
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$3,037
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$2,781
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1,918

Top Losers

Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?$-8,589
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-4,261
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-4,148
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,019
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?$-2,820
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$-2,384
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?$-2,234
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$-2,021
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-2,012
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?$-1,908

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.008
Sortino
0.018
HHI
193
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
9.8%
Half-Kelly
4.9%
Top-1 market
9.6%
Top-5 markets
20.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.5
Active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
25.9m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 4.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active4.0 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.82
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29%
Mid (20-55c)45.4%
High (>55c)25.7%

Sessions

#12
7/4/2026, 8:59:34 PM6 trades$82,5000 min
5/31/2026, 5:13:54 PM2 trades$27,3370 min
7/5/2026, 9:49:05 PM11 trades$16,5150 min
4/12/2026, 4:48:03 PM58 trades$15,68310 min
6/21/2025, 5:55:52 PM2 trades$14,1345 min
11/6/2024, 12:49:39 AM5 trades$12,2345 min
10/8/2025, 9:17:50 PM1 trades$11,3770 min
7/17/2026, 9:46:55 AM44 trades$9,5044 min
7/31/2026, 7:47:48 PM24 trades$9,5032 min
4/12/2026, 12:30:13 PM10 trades$8,2270 min
4/9/2026, 8:09:35 PM14 trades$8,0430 min
5/30/2026, 12:38:22 PM14 trades$7,6221 min
10/8/2025, 10:30:56 PM6 trades$6,9994 min
11/25/2025, 3:56:31 PM4 trades$6,8717 min
7/18/2026, 2:08:51 PM26 trades$6,8440 min
11/4/2024, 7:41:59 PM9 trades$6,5247 min
5/25/2026, 3:03:35 PM34 trades$6,3890 min
11/25/2025, 9:01:49 PM3 trades$6,2182 min
7/5/2026, 12:57:28 PM24 trades$5,8232 min
11/6/2024, 1:29:53 AM8 trades$5,6688 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-02
11-28
07-19
10-01
02-16
03-22
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 255 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.82/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29 / M45.4 / H25.7