sebelmaestro

@sebelmaestro

#3,050,02490

0x1a967b272e98b708fb26a947a50c23785ac29797

~79d· 1623 markets · 154714 tradesVol: $10,228,709 @sebmauclair2026-08-02 08:52:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (756/1089)19.7/20
8.67x (win $2,740 / loss $316)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.82915/15
Sortino 85.08310/10
$+0.0030 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 126 (1089 markets)10/10
59/77 profitable days (77%)10/10
Max DD 3% of peak ($65 / $2,424)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Diamond Hands
5% sells
DCA Master
Avg 8.0 entries/market
Whale
$818,045 invested
Consistent
59/77 profitable days
High Roller
$10,226/day
Cool Head
Max DD 3%
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,865,043$-3,395Vol: $4,604,075
🏛️ POLITICS#1,625,339$-2,172Vol: $3,491,351
🎭 CULTURE#805,231$-423Vol: $798,645
💰 FINANCE#649,037$-512Vol: $740,717
📈 ECONOMICS#669,253$-231Vol: $458,789
CRYPTO#1,484,222$-113Vol: $120,167
🌤️ WEATHER#236,157$-7Vol: $1,984
💻 TECH#203,683$-2Vol: $380
📢 MENTIONS#65,715$-0Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,640
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,228,709
Total Redeem
$224
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1623
total markets
Trades
7644B / 7777S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~79d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-7,640
Vol: $10,228,709

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
2848W / 526L events
Realized PnL
$-7,640
Win Rate
84%
2848W / 526L
Profit Factor
8.67x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $376 (0.049188331662264294% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$141
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$120
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$115
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$105
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$95
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$93
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$82
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$77
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$77
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$74

Top Losers

Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-37
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$-28
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.251
Sortino
2.781
HHI
85
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
9.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1933.9
Very active
Markets / Day
20.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
13.7m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
17 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.1

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 198s — normal for humanCV 2.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1934 trades/day — automation20 markets/day — mass coverage5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.99
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12%
Mid (20-55c)0.2%
High (>55c)87.8%

Sessions

#12
4/17/2026, 6:03:56 AM58 trades$8,89052 min
4/15/2026, 4:50:34 PM65 trades$6,28858 min
4/29/2026, 3:41:06 AM12 trades$5,97614 min
4/16/2026, 12:48:06 AM22 trades$5,87214 min
4/21/2026, 4:18:22 PM6 trades$5,7315 min
4/24/2026, 1:07:28 AM6 trades$4,3212 min
5/21/2026, 4:04:07 PM48 trades$4,12026 min
4/29/2026, 2:49:00 AM8 trades$4,0499 min
5/23/2026, 6:27:18 AM32 trades$3,84024 min
5/27/2026, 8:43:51 AM36 trades$3,76638 min
4/17/2026, 8:07:08 AM18 trades$3,75317 min
4/13/2026, 9:08:07 AM16 trades$3,70611 min
5/18/2026, 5:44:22 AM22 trades$3,66319 min
5/18/2026, 11:53:23 AM34 trades$3,58323 min
5/27/2026, 7:20:00 AM14 trades$3,4759 min
4/30/2026, 3:55:58 AM8 trades$3,4605 min
4/26/2026, 6:21:50 AM2 trades$3,3780 min
5/21/2026, 6:34:43 PM36 trades$3,35613 min
5/21/2026, 7:04:39 AM46 trades$3,28446 min
4/18/2026, 4:22:48 AM36 trades$3,28219 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-05
04-17
04-29
05-11
05-25
06-06
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.99/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12 / M0.2 / H87.8